thetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $308.33EOD only
Max Pain
$300.00
Next expiry May 27, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.90
0.9% from close
Price Gap
-8.33
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
24
Low premium
P/C OI
0.72
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 26, 2026 close
AAPL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because on-balance signals (GEX, spot at max-pain, net bullish flow) strongly support a pin and short-dated selling edge, but the nearby earnings window and elevated 23–37d IV introduce a binary event and roll/term risk that materially reduce conviction for multi-week, uncovered premium strategies.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned to the $258 area — dealer short-gamma, concentrated GEX and net bullish premium create a strong magnet that favors range-bound to modestly bullish action into the April expiries.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-term IV skew and elevated longer-dated vol create explicit tail-risk pricing that undermines aggressive short-dated premium-heavy trades if the market moves toward a binary earnings reaction; additionally, concentrated long-dated calls and term-IV pickup imply the market is buying protection on the upside, which contradicts a pure continuation to the upside narrative.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell Apr 24 $252.50/$247.50 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk put spread) — matches the directional/theta pin trade.

Key Risk

A break and daily close below $254.68 (2d EM lower bound) flips dealer gamma, triggers forced hedging and a volatility spike, and would accelerate downside toward $247.50 (put spread strike) — this single move invalidates the pin and decimates short premium positions.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.