ThetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $260.48EOD only
Max Pain
$255.00
Next expiry Apr 13, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.20
1.2% from close
Price Gap
-5.48
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
67
High premium
P/C OI
0.73
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 10, 2026 close
AAPL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for April 10, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because on-balance signals (GEX, spot at max-pain, net bullish flow) strongly support a pin and short-dated selling edge, but the nearby earnings window and elevated 23–37d IV introduce a binary event and roll/term risk that materially reduce conviction for multi-week, uncovered premium strategies.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned to the $258 area — dealer short-gamma, concentrated GEX and net bullish premium create a strong magnet that favors range-bound to modestly bullish action into the April expiries.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-term IV skew and elevated longer-dated vol create explicit tail-risk pricing that undermines aggressive short-dated premium-heavy trades if the market moves toward a binary earnings reaction; additionally, concentrated long-dated calls and term-IV pickup imply the market is buying protection on the upside, which contradicts a pure continuation to the upside narrative.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell Apr 24 $252.50/$247.50 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk put spread) — matches the directional/theta pin trade.

Key Risk

A break and daily close below $254.68 (2d EM lower bound) flips dealer gamma, triggers forced hedging and a volatility spike, and would accelerate downside toward $247.50 (put spread strike) — this single move invalidates the pin and decimates short premium positions.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for AAPL for 2026-04-08. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.