thetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $308.82EOD only
Max Pain
$300.00
Next expiry May 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.54
1.1% from close
Price Gap
-8.82
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
36
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.71
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
AAPL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 7, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 7, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 22, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because structural positioning (GEX and concentrated call flow) gives a reliable magnet, but the near-term IV/earnings wrinkle is a true binary that can invalidate the pin quickly; that risk keeps conviction from being high despite alignment of directional and flow signals.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus is a bullish pin into the $255–$260 cluster driven by dealer gamma positioning and concentrated call flow — positioning is primed to magnet price into that band absent a binary shock.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-term/skew and the short-dated IV spike create a direct contradiction: the market is pricing specific near-term event risk that undermines aggressive premium-selling or carry-forward directional exposure; this elevated near-term event premium conflicts with a clean theta-extraction view that assumes steady, non-binary decay.

Top Trade
via theta

Buy Apr 10 / Sell May 22 252.50 calendar (long May 252.50 call, short Apr 10 252.50 call) — expected ~$0.80 debit

Key Risk

A close and sustained move below $252 (daily close < $252) flips dealer gamma positioning, removes the pin, and accelerates downside toward the $245 support band — this single level invalidates the bullish magnet thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 7, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.