thetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $302.25EOD only
Max Pain
$292.50
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.44
1.5% from close
Price Gap
-9.75
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
22
Low premium
P/C OI
0.70
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
AAPL Flow Report
Analysis based on market close March 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from March 26, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 20, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Sustained net premium outflow >$20M and P/C ratio >0.8
Invalidation: Net premium flips positive with call buying at $255+
Confidence:
6 / 10
base 5; +1.5 heavy put premium dominance; -0.5 GEX positive (pinning);

Watch next session: $255P 3/27 OI growth; Spot vs $250 Max Pain level; Any large call sweep above $260

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$16.3M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.78 — put-dominant

P/C OI ratio: 0.70 — moderate call lean in positioning

Flow shows a clear bearish tilt with significant net premium paid for puts, particularly at the $255 strike. However, positive Gamma Exposure (GEX) suggests a pinning force near $250, creating a conflict between flow direction and gamma dynamics.

Notable Prints

#1
AAPL 3/27 $255 Put
Vol: 70,741
OI: 3,378
Vol/OI: 20.9x
IV: 22.8%
Notional: ~$17.9M (premium: $34.5M)
Intent: Fresh directional put buying or large-scale hedging
Dual read: Bought to open (bearish) or sold/covered (bullish)

Read-through: Massive volume and premium paid. Given spot at $252.89, this is likely protective or speculative bearish positioning for immediate downside.

#2
AAPL 8/21 $180 Put
Vol: 10,229
OI: 627
Vol/OI: 16.3x
IV: 41.0%
Notional: ~$10.5M (strike value)
Intent: Long-term tail-risk hedge or defined-risk put spread leg
Dual read: Bought as cheap disaster hedge (bearish) or sold for premium in a spread (neutral/bullish)

Read-through: Extreme OTM (29% below spot), high IV. Likely a cost-effective hedge for a large portfolio, not a direct near-term directional bet.

#3
AAPL 3/27 $257.50 Put
Vol: 16,747
OI: 883
Vol/OI: 19.0x
IV: 22.3%
Notional: ~$4.3M (premium: $9.0M)
Intent: Near-term directional put buying
Dual read: Bought to open (bearish)

Read-through: Another large, high-premium put flow just above spot. Reinforces the bearish pressure seen at $255.

#4
AAPL 3/30 $255 Put
Vol: 9,086
OI: 300
Vol/OI: 30.3x
IV: 24.7%
Notional: ~$2.3M (premium: est. $5M+)
Intent: Roll from 3/27 puts or new weekly hedge
Dual read: Bought to open (bearish)

Read-through: High vol/oi suggests new positioning. Extends bearish hedge into next week.

#5
AAPL 3/27 $265 Put
Vol: 316
OI: 5
Vol/OI: 63.2x
IV: 62.8%
Notional: ~$83,000 (premium: est. high)
Intent: Lottery ticket or spread leg
Dual read: Bought OTM put (bearish lottery) or sold as part of a spread

Read-through: Tiny OI, massive vol/oi, and sky-high IV. This is noise—likely a retail-sized OTM punt or a spread component, not institutional.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Minimal notable call flow. Top premium strikes are $280, $270, $290 (net positive but smaller vs put outflow).

Put additions: Heavy at $255 (3/27), $257.50 (3/27), $255 (3/30). Significant premium paid indicates buying pressure.

GEX/DEX consistency: No — conflict. Flow is bearish (net premium negative), but GEX is +$139.9M (pinning/bullish for dealers). This suggests flow is fighting the gamma pin.

OI clusters: Long-dated call walls at $280, $300 (large OI). Near-term, $255 put is a major OI cluster from today's flow. $250 is a key level across many expirations (Max Pain).

Hedging evidence: Strong evidence: Large put buys at $255 and $257.50 with high premium. The $180 Aug put is a clear long-dated tail-risk hedge.

Max pain context: Spot ($252.89) is just above the dominant Max Pain level of $250. Positive GEX supports a magnetic pull toward $250.

Signal vs Noise

~The $265 Put 3/27 (63x vol/oi) is noise—tiny OI, retail-sized, extreme IV.
~The $180 Put 8/21 is a structural hedge, not a near-term directional signal.
~Some of the near-term put flow could be closing of existing positions ahead of 3/27 expiry, but the high vol/oi and premium paid suggest more opening.
~Large OI in $280+ calls is mostly long-dated and static, not reflective of today's flow.

Key Conclusions

⚠️Flow vs Gamma Conflict: Bearish put buying fights +$140M GEX pin toward $250.
🐻Net Premium Bearish: -$16.3M outflow, dominated by $255 put buying.
📌Max Pain Magnet: $250 is key pin level across multiple expirations.
🛡️Hedging Rampant: Large protective put buys at $255 and long-dated tail hedge at $180.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on March 26, 2026.
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If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.