thetaOwl

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $142.76EOD only
Max Pain
$136.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.14
2.2% from close
Price Gap
-6.76
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
58
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.98
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
PLTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because positioning and dealer gamma favor upside, but an imminent earnings binary and elevated IV/term-structure risk materially lower conviction until passage of the event or IV compression.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish bias into the May expiries — dealer positive gamma and buy-side flow concentrate probability higher toward the $150 area while pinning around $136–140 compresses downside risk near-term.

Where They Diverge

Theta wants to harvest premium by selling against the pin but earnings/IV term structure and elevated post-earnings skew make naked premium selling riskier; flow shows steady institutional accumulation but the earnings term structure implies a potential post-earnings fade that would directly counter continued directional upside.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 15 $145/$140 put spread for a net credit (theta play) — defined-risk premium capture into/through the pin.

Key Risk

Break and close below $120 (dealer gamma flip) triggered by a negative earnings surprise or macro gap — removes the pin, flips dealers to net short-gamma, and accelerates downside toward $110 support.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for PLTR for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.