thetaOwl

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $142.15EOD only
Max Pain
$135.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.67
3.3% from close
Price Gap
-7.15
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
39
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.98
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 15, 2026 close
PLTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because positioning, positive GEX and institutional flow align toward a bullish pin, but conviction is capped by a looming earnings event and several near-term pin dates that materially raise the chance of a volatility spike or directional whipsaw; absent earnings, conviction would be significantly higher.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market structure and positioning favor a bullish pin toward the concentrated call-OI band (~$150) with dealer short-gamma making any directional break reactive and amplified; overall flow and theta conditions reward selling defined-risk below the pin while keeping upside exposure via diagonals or covered calls.

Where They Diverge

Earnings term structure and the upcoming May 4 event create a direct contradiction: flow and directional read as accumulation and a continuation toward the call wall, but the earnings-driven IV premium and binary risk make small defined-risk shorts fragile and imply the market may price a post-earnings mean-reversion—this undermines aggressive directional longs that assume a steady drift to $150.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 24 $133/$125 put spread for credit (defined-risk put spread, expires pre-earnings).

Key Risk

A decisive break below $130 (sustained close under $130) flips the dealer gamma profile, removes the pin, and would accelerate downside toward the $125 support/gap area — this level and trigger invalidate the bullish pin and crush short-dated sellers.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for PLTR for 2026-04-15. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.