thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $219.51EOD only
Max Pain
$215.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.50
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-4.51
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
40
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.80
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
NVDA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 7, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 7, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 21, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasNeutral-Bullish
Confirmation: Sustained call net premium and continued GEX concentration near $177.50–$182.50 with price holding above $175 (MP) into next session
Invalidation: Net premium turns negative or P/C volume ratio rises above 1.2 with spot moving decisively below $172.50
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.8% from MP

Watch next session: Size and direction of flows at $180.00 (net premium and volumes vs OI); Activity at $175.00–$177.50 into the 4/08 and 4/10 expiries (rolls or heavy closeouts)

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$114.8M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.98 — neutral (slight call edge in volume)

P/C OI ratio: 0.90 — moderate call lean in positioning

Net premium is strongly skewed to calls (notably at $175, $177.50 and $180) while overall P/C volume is near neutral. Dealers are long gamma (GEX +$422.8M) creating pinning pressure around near-term strikes; flow looks like institutions adding call exposure around $175–$185 while put activity is concentrated as protective hedges around $170–$172.50 and in longer-dated odd strikes.

Notable Prints

#1
NVDA 2026-04-08 $177.50 Call
Vol: 66,409
OI: 7,818
Vol/OI: 8.5x
IV: 47.8%
Notional: ~$138M (66,409 * $2.09 * 100)
Intent: Aggressive short-dated directional call buying / opening (bullish into expiry)
Dual read: Could be buy-to-open (directional) or delta-hedged structured selling by an institution (less likely given net premium skew); either way it materially increases dealer short call deltas and GEX exposure.

Read-through: This print reinforces dealer pinning pressure around $177.50 and is consistent with the large GEX concentration at that strike; expect dealers to hedge by selling stock into strength near $177.50–$180.

#2
NVDA 2026-04-08 $175.00 Call
Vol: 41,472
OI: 6,194
Vol/OI: 6.7x
IV: 51.1%
Notional: ~$164M (41,472 * $3.95 * 100)
Intent: Short-dated directional call accumulation (bullish / pin-support into expiry)
Dual read: Bought calls (bullish) or heavy overwriting/synthetic structures by institutions (neutral to bullish net exposure).

Read-through: Adds to the short-dated pin at $175–$177.50; dealers will be pressured to sell stock into rallies and buy into dips, enhancing pin behavior at $175 MP.

#3
NVDA 2026-04-24 $172.50 Put
Vol: 7,306
OI: 145
Vol/OI: 50.4x
IV: 37.2%
Notional: ~$24.1M (7,306 * $3.30 * 100)
Intent: Fresh directional put accumulation / speculative bearish hedge for sizing outside near-term expiries
Dual read: Could be institution buying puts for downside protection or a large trader selling a put vertical (complex spread).

Read-through: Shows targeted protection around $172.50 further out than imminent expiries — signals some participants are willing to pay for downside insurance even while front-month call buying dominates.

#4
NVDA 2026-04-08 $172.50 Put
Vol: 46,668
OI: 9,006
Vol/OI: 5.2x
IV: 55.0%
Notional: ~$15.9M (46,668 * $0.34 * 100)
Intent: Short-dated put buying/rolling into expiry (protective hedges or short-dated risk transfer)
Dual read: Protective buys by holders (bearish/insurance) or dealers/strategists executing complex hedges around MP.

Read-through: Significant activity on the downside strikes coexisting with call prints — points to mixed flow: calls dominate premium but sizable protective puts exist, consistent with a hedged bullish stance.

#5
NVDA 2026-04-24 $192.50 Call
Vol: 5,620
OI: 182
Vol/OI: 30.9x
IV: 30.7%
Notional: ~$3.99M (5,620 * $0.71 * 100)
Intent: Out-of-the-money call accumulation (speculative upside or part of structure)
Dual read: Directional bullish speculation or long call in a spread (e.g., call wings).

Read-through: Smaller notional than front-month prints but indicates conviction for upside beyond $190 among some participants; supports secondary resistance crowding at $190 if spot rallies.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $175.00-$185.00 (notably $175, $177.50, $180.00, $182.50) — heavy premium flow and OI concentration point to institutions adding call exposure in the front two expiries

Put additions: $170.00-$172.50 protective activity (front month and 4/24); larger odd long-dated put prints at high strikes in Top Premium Flow appear idiosyncratic but near-term protective puts concentrate at $170 and $172.50

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — positive Total GEX $422.8M with major GEX buckets at $177.50, $180.00 and $182.50 matches the call-dominant net premium and front-month pinning regime

OI clusters: $177.50 (65,369 OI), $182.50 (62,916 OI), $180.00 (52,199 OI) as call walls; puts concentrated at $170.00 (36,763 OI) and $140.00 (91,662 put OI further out) — creates a near-term pin band and a lower put floor.

Hedging evidence: Yes — sizable short-dated put buys (e.g., 4/08 $172.50 and $170.00 activity) indicate protective hedging; limited evidence of broad collar structures but flow suggests bullish exposures are being protected on the downside.

Max pain context: Max Pain concentrated at $175 for multiple expiries; MP at $175 aligns with heavy short-dated call flow that will encourage dealer hedging to keep price near $175–$177.50 into the small expiries.

Signal vs Noise

~Large 4/08 call volumes (66k/41k on $177.50/$175) are partially expiry-driven — some of the volume will be short-dated directional bets but also include expiration positioning and dealer delta management.
~$172.50 and $170.00 large put flows around 4/08 and 4/24 look like protective hedges and short-dated insurance rather than new directional short bets.
~Premium spikes at very high/odd strikes in the Top Premium Flow (e.g., $340/$350/$320 net put flows) are idiosyncratic and likely skew trades or structured trades rather than signals for near-term direction.
~Multiple prints with very high vol/OI on thin OI (e.g., 4/24 $172.50 Put OI=145) signal large one-off openings but take into account low existing OI — could be single-block activity or a leg of a spread.

Key Conclusions

🐂Net premium is materially call-biased (+$114.8M) with front-month concentration at $175–$182.50 — skew favors upside exposure
📌Pinning regime is active with GEX concentration at $177.50 and $180.00 and MP at $175 — dealers likely to dampen moves away from this band in the short-term
🛡️Coexistence of large short-dated protective puts ($170–$172.50) shows institutions are adding or protecting bullish exposure rather than naked long speculation
⚖️P/C volume ~0.98 and P/C OI 0.90 — flow is mixed but leans call-heavy; look for continuation of call dominance to confirm bias
👀Watch next session for renewed activity at $180.00 and any shifts in OI at $175/$177.50 — these will be the clearest confirmations of dealer pinning or its breakdown
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This flow reflects the market close on April 7, 2026.
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