thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $202.06EOD only
Max Pain
$195.00
Next expiry Apr 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.12
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-7.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
33
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.86
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 20, 2026 close
NVDA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 21, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: +$765M GEX, concentrated call prints at 202.5–205 with large OI, pinning regime and spot above midpoint.
Invalidation: Surge in front‑month put activity and price break below 197–200 that flips gamma and lifts VIX.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.2% from MP; +0.5 VIX 20

Watch next session: Monitor 202–205 liquidity and tradeflow; Watch VIX and IV skew for front‑month put demand; Track delta/gamma exposure if price breaches 197–200

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$172.1M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.71

P/C OI ratio: 0.86

Dominant bullish flow: call-heavy, strong positive GEX and pinning near MP; downside risk if heavy front‑month puts force a gamma flip below ~197–200.

Notable Prints

#1
NVDA 2026-04-22 $200.00 Put
Vol: 141,066
OI: 6,297
Vol/OI: 22.4x
IV: 25.2%
Notional: ~$22.0M
Intent: large short-dated downside hedge or aggressive put buying
Dual read: buy protection vs dealer selling/closing

Read-through: pins downside sensitivity at 200 for today's settlement

#2
NVDA 2026-05-08 $202.50 Call
Vol: 2,813
OI: 174
Vol/OI: 16.2x
IV: 35.5%
Notional: ~$1.4M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
NVDA 2026-04-22 $202.50 Call
Vol: 133,988
OI: 8,568
Vol/OI: 15.6x
IV: 24.8%
Notional: ~$7.0M
Intent: short-dated upside cover or call buys to press upside
Dual read: buying calls vs dealers writing calls

Read-through: concentrates gamma ~202.5, increases pinning pressure

#4
NVDA 2026-05-08 $182.50 Put
Vol: 2,793
OI: 191
Vol/OI: 14.6x
IV: 40.2%
Notional: ~$346K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
NVDA 2026-04-22 $202.50 Put
Vol: 23,963
OI: 1,904
Vol/OI: 12.6x
IV: 25.0%
Notional: ~$7.3M
Intent: hedge near-the-money downside exposure
Dual read: buy protection vs dealer short put placement

Read-through: strengthens concentrated short-dated put wall near 202.5

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Concentrated near‑term call buys around 205/207.5 and short‑dated May strikes; clustered expiries 4/22–5/15.

Put additions: Large same‑day puts at 197.5–202.5 including oversized $200 prints; elevated short‑dated put flow.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX modestly positive and DEX buy flow support a bullish/pinning regime, but not definitive.

OI clusters: Largest OI at 205 (~17k), 200 (~9.6k), 197.5 (~7.4k); put OI skew ~30% below spot may favor gamma flip near those levels.

Hedging evidence: Evidence of short‑dated collars and put buying with paired calls — typical hedged bullish positioning.

Max pain context: Spot ~1.2% above MP; probability of pinning into 4/22 estimated ~60–75% given flow, but alternate outcomes (sharp intraday moves or longer‑dated offsets) remain plausible.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: aligned GEX/DEX and concentrated 4/22 expiries increase pinning risk (60–75% range).
~Signal: oversized $200 put and 205 call OI indicate hedged directional exposure.
~Noise: multi‑week/month positions and intraday orderflow can offset short‑dated flow — expect ~20–35% counterweight probability.

Key Conclusions

📌Short gamma into 4/22 likely keeps price near 202–205 but not certain; 60–75% chance, with notable alternate scenarios.
💡Institutions appear net bullish yet protected; longer‑dated positions and intraday flows could mute or reverse near‑term moves.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 21, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.