base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 4.9% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Term structure: Front-end elevated, mildly contango
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+32.9M)
Gamma flip: ~$92.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 12,931 (7.7% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI 12,931 at $95; call wall $110-$130; put floor $60-$92
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-12 $90.00/$85.00 put spread
Sells near-the-money put spread to capture elevated IV and pin risk decay.
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or if NOW breaks below $92.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-18 $92.00/$84.00 put wing and $110.00/$124.00 call wing
Balanced short vol play with defined risk, profiting from range-bound move.
Mgmt: Adjust if NOW approaches $92 or $110; close near max pain.
#3Put calendar
Sell 2026-06-12 $90.00 put / buy 2026-07-17 $90.00 put
Sells short-dated put, buys longer-dated to profit from vol contraction.
Mgmt: Monitor theta; close if spot moves below $90.
!IV elevated but could contract quickly
!Pin risk at $95 – heavy put OI concentration
!Gamma flip at $92 – break could accelerate