base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.7% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Term structure: Front-end extremely high (1d call 143%), backwardated; longer-term ~60%
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Pinning ($+6.8M)
Gamma flip: ~$70.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 16,313 (22.7% below spot)
OI concentrations: Max pain $94 (5/15); put OI heavy $85-$90
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-05 $85.00/$81.00 put spread
Sell 30-delta put at $85, buy 18-delta put at $81; defined risk with high POP.
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or if spot breaks $85.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-05 $85.00/$81.00 put wing and $95.00/$101.00 call wing
Sell $85 put and $95 call, buy $81 put and $101 call; benefits from low realized volatility.
Mgmt: Adjust wings if implied vol spikes; take profit at 50% max gain.
#3Call credit spread
Sell 2026-06-05 $95.00/$101.00 call spread
Sell 40-delta call at $95, buy 25-delta call at $101; bearish on upside movement.
Mgmt: Exit if spot exceeds $94; manage gamma risk near expiry.