thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $89.30EOD only
Max Pain
$89.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.29
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-0.30
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
23
Low premium
P/C OI
0.79
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
NFLX Theta Report
Analysis based on market close May 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness9 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Short Put Spread
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $84.63 support or above $91.16 resistance; IV spike above 50%
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.4% from MP; +1 VIX 17

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
Avg IV 48% vs VIX 16.7; IV premium elevated
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Near-term IV low but rising; put IV spike to 118% at Jun 18 expiry suggests event risk

⚠️Put IV spikes to 118% at Jun 18 expiry; potential event risk

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: At

GEX regime: Pinning ($+118.1M)

Gamma flip: ~$75.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 59,411 (15.3% below spot)

OI concentrations: Put OI 59K at $75 (15.3% below spot); call wall $100-$125

Verdict: Low - spot at max pain $89 with positive GEX reduces pin risk

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-12 $86.00/$83.00 put spread
Sell $86 put, buy $83 put for credit.
Credit: $0.69-$0.84
Max loss: $2.16
BE: $85.16
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or if spot breaks $84.63.
#2
Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-06-12 $85.00 cash-secured put
Sell $85 put for premium.
Credit: $0.90-$1.10
Max loss: $83.90
BE: $83.90
Mgmt: Roll if tested or close at 50% profit.

Risk Alerts

!Put IV spike on Jun 18 expiry; monitor event risk
!VIX at 16.7 low; watch for volatility expansion
!Max pain at $89; pinning likely but monitor volume
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on May 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.