thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $107.79EOD only
Max Pain
$95.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.92
7.3% from close
Price Gap
-12.79
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.82
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
NFLX AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because directional, flow and theta align on a pin/bull bias but high short-term IV and an upcoming event window create a binary risk that can wipe out positioning quickly, preventing a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinning to the $97–100 cluster with a bullish bias toward $101–102 driven by dealer gamma and supportive flow into this week's expiries.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-term dynamics and short-term IV skew imply a post-event fade and higher hedging costs, which directly contradict a clean bullish continuation if realised; flow shows institutional accumulation but could be re-priced into earnings, undermining that accumulation's impact.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-05-01 $100 call / Buy 2026-06-18 $102 call diagonal for a small net credit (theta play capturing decay and selling front-month gamma).

Key Risk

Break and close below $97 removes the pin, flips dealer gamma, and rapidly accelerates downside toward $93, invalidating the bullish continuation.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for NFLX for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.