thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $106.28EOD only
Max Pain
$94.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.28
6.8% from close
Price Gap
-12.28
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.92
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 14, 2026 close
NFLX AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning and positive GEX create a meaningful, mechanically supported pin that raises the odds of a calm, biased range into the event, but imminent earnings (binary IV and gap risk) and the possibility of a gamma flip if spot breaches the lower band materially limit conviction from being higher.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term bullish pin into the $100–$110 band driven by dealer short-gamma and concentrated bullish positioning; the market is biased to hold a level above nearest max-pain into the near-term event rather than freely sell off.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-term risk directly undermines premium-selling: theta wants to harvest rich front-week IV while the earnings persona flags a binary event and high 3-day IV that can spike gap moves and destroy short volatility P/L. Additionally, directional pinning assumes dealer hedging will dominate — but if a post-earnings fade forms (term-structure signals a reversal), flow accumulation becomes a shorter-lived positioning tailwind rather than durable demand.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell Apr 17 $105/$100 put spread for a credit (~$0.90–$1.20)

Key Risk

A sustained break and close below $99 (triggering a dealer gamma flip to net-long) removes the pin; consequence is accelerated downside toward the $95 structural support/gap and rapid IV dislocation that would wipe out short-premium positions.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for NFLX for 2026-04-14. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.