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NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $103.16EOD only
Max Pain
$93.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.75
6.5% from close
Price Gap
-10.16
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.92
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
NFLX AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because gamma-driven pinning and visible short-term positioning create a reliable mean-reversion bias, but conviction is held down by an imminent earnings event (4 days) that is both large and asymmetric — it can abruptly invalidate positioning even if orderflow and GEX currently support a pin.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market consensus is for a short-term pin between roughly $100–$110 with dealer long-gamma bias supporting mean reversion into near-term OI levels; the highest-probability path is consolidation into the April expiries rather than a clean trending break before earnings.

Where They Diverge

Flow signals of institutional accumulation skew slightly bullish and imply continuation through earnings, which directly contradicts the earnings persona that emphasizes a post-report fade risk due to front-week rich IV and a crowded short-term options book; similarly, theta recommends premium-selling into the pin while earnings raises the chance that a binary move will make that premium-selling profile net-negative.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 $103/$105 call spread for ~$0.45 credit (defined-risk, front-week premium sell to harvest pin), expected credit ~$0.40–$0.50

Key Risk

A daily close below $95 triggers dealer gamma flip and a stop/positioning unwind that would remove the pin — consequence is swift downside acceleration toward the concentrated $73 put-floor region (large gap-fill risk).

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for NFLX for 2026-04-13. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.