ThetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $103.01EOD only
Max Pain
$92.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.95
6.8% from close
Price Gap
-11.01
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
56
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.90
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 10, 2026 close
NFLX AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for April 10, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning and positive GEX create a meaningful magnet and favor short-term premium strategies, but conviction is tempered materially by an imminent earnings binary and elevated near-term IV that can overwhelm pinning if prints surprise — removes higher score until spot survives the event.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term pin to the $100–$101 cluster driven by dealer gamma and concentrated positioning; that pinning bias is the dominant, actionable thesis across perspectives despite event noise.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-driven vol and front-week IV elevate the probability of a post-report range expansion that would directly undermine the pinning thesis — the earnings/event view implies a binary re-pricing that could negate dealer gamma support; similarly, any concentrated institutional flow betting into the print would magnify the event outcome rather than reinforce a quiet pin.

Top Trade
via theta

Buy May 22 $100 call, Sell Apr 17 $100 call (calendar) — net debit, small long-calendar to collect front-week theta while keeping upside exposure into/through earnings.

Key Risk

A decisive close below $95 before or immediately after earnings will flip dealer gamma exposure, remove the $100–$101 magnet, and trigger accelerated downside toward the $90 support band — this scenario invalidates the pinning and premium-selling thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for NFLX for 2026-04-08. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.