thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $87.68EOD only
Max Pain
$89.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.14
2.4% from close
Price Gap
+1.32
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
26
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.80
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 26, 2026 close
NFLX AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning and positive GEX create a meaningful magnet and favor short-term premium strategies, but conviction is tempered materially by an imminent earnings binary and elevated near-term IV that can overwhelm pinning if prints surprise — removes higher score until spot survives the event.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term pin to the $100–$101 cluster driven by dealer gamma and concentrated positioning; that pinning bias is the dominant, actionable thesis across perspectives despite event noise.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-driven vol and front-week IV elevate the probability of a post-report range expansion that would directly undermine the pinning thesis — the earnings/event view implies a binary re-pricing that could negate dealer gamma support; similarly, any concentrated institutional flow betting into the print would magnify the event outcome rather than reinforce a quiet pin.

Top Trade
via theta

Buy May 22 $100 call, Sell Apr 17 $100 call (calendar) — net debit, small long-calendar to collect front-week theta while keeping upside exposure into/through earnings.

Key Risk

A decisive close below $95 before or immediately after earnings will flip dealer gamma exposure, remove the $100–$101 magnet, and trigger accelerated downside toward the $90 support band — this scenario invalidates the pinning and premium-selling thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.