thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $83.33EOD only
Max Pain
$86.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.16
2.6% from close
Price Gap
+2.67
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
33
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.79
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 2, 2026 close
NFLX Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call-premium follow-through above today's net premium baseline (net premium +$106.8M) and continued call-heavy volume into the $110$120 area, accompanied by a rapid unwind of front-week puts
Invalidation: A session that flips to net put premium (negative net premium) with put/call volume ratio rising above 1.2, heavy put prints at or below the $100 support band, or continued accumulation of short-dated puts (4/17) without follow-through calls
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 13.4% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18; -0.5 increased short-dated protective put activity (Apr17)

Watch next session: Flow into the $110.00$112.00 strikes (GEX concentration levels) fresh call buys or dealer re-hedging will confirm pinning; Behavior of front-week puts (NFLX260417P00107000 and NFLX260417P00055000): aggressive buying or a sustained bid would cap upside and reduce bullish conviction

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$106.8M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.73

P/C OI ratio: 0.82

Call demand remains the headline (net premium +$106.8M) concentrated at $110$120, but substantial short-dated put activity ahead of earnings alters the near-term picture. Notably, the 4/17 $107 put (Vol=1,786, OI=572) and a high-IV deep-OTM $55 put (Vol=398, IV=237.5%) indicate material protective/tail-hedge flows that reduce conviction in an unabated short-term rally; the net is still call-leaning but with meaningful hedging skew into the earnings window.

Notable Prints

#1
NFLX260417C00117000
Vol: 5,185
OI: 645
Vol/OI: 8.0x
IV: 97.3%
Notional: ~$482K
Intent: Directional call buying into front-week (opening fresh upside exposure ahead of earnings/short-dated gamma squeeze)
Dual read: Could partly be market-makers laying off short-gamma risk (buying calls) vs an outright directional long; volume 5,185 vs OI 645 (8.0x) favors fresh buys

Read-through: Significant front-week call demand at $117 (9% OTM) supports near-term upside pressure toward the $115$117 band and reinforces dealer positive GEX/pinning bias

#2
NFLX260417P00107000
Vol: 1,786
OI: 572
Vol/OI: 3.1x
IV: 99.1%
Notional: ~$6.3M
Intent: Aggressive short-dated protective put buying ahead of earnings (defensive hedging)
Dual read: Primarily looks like buyer-initiated paid protection rather than a position close; size (1,786 contracts) materially exceeds comparable front-week put prints and likely reflects institutional downside insurance

Read-through: This print meaningfully increases near-term put skew and acts as a short-term cap — dealers will need to short-delta/hedge the position, which could blunt upside into expiry unless calls significantly outpace further put demand

#3
NFLX260417P00055000
Vol: 398
OI: 131
Vol/OI: 3.0x
IV: 237.5%
Notional: ~$11.9K
Intent: Deep-OTM tail-hedge or structured component (very high IV)
Dual read: Could be a cheap one-off buyer buying extreme tail protection or part of a larger structured product; high IV suggests premium for crash protection was expensive and thus purposeful

Read-through: Even small notional, the extreme IV and distance imply explicit tail-hedging interest that steepens short-dated skew and may cause dealers to manage convexity aggressively around earnings

#4
NFLX260515C00122000
Vol: 3,420
OI: 949
Vol/OI: 3.6x
IV: 42.3%
Notional: ~$393K
Intent: Medium-dated call accumulation (speculative/institutional upside exposure into mid-May)
Dual read: Could be part of call spreads or structured purchases funded by puts, but vol 3,420 vs OI 949 (3.6x) and IV 42.3% suggests fresh openings

Read-through: Adds to call-side positioning at the $122 area (13% OTM) contributing to the longer-dated call wall/gamma at $120$140 and reinforcing asymmetric upside convexity for dealers

#5
NFLX260529C00105000
Vol: 522
OI: 115
Vol/OI: 4.5x
IV: 44.7%
Notional: ~$377K
Intent: Long-dated ITM call activity (May 29 $105 ITM) likely directional long or roll from front-dated calls
Dual read: Could be conversion/synthetic mechanics (close short puts + buy calls) but vol/OI 4.5x with IV 44.7% favors fresh directional allocation or roll

Read-through: ITM May calls at $105 increase open interest inside current spot, pointing to institutional willingness to own delta exposure into the summer

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $110$122 strikes (heavy premium at $110; OI clusters at $120/$140; flows into $122 exp 5/15 and $120.50 exp 6/18) institutions are adding upside exposure across near- and mid-dates.

Put additions: More substantial than previously described: significant short-dated paid protection at 4/17 $107 (Vol=1,786, OI=572) and ITM $112 puts (Vol=509) plus deep-OTM $55 tail hedges (IV=237.5%) and some mid-dated protection at $95 (5/08). These are sized to materially influence short-term skew and dealer hedging.

GEX/DEX consistency: Partially consistent: while net flow and GEX remain positive (+$312.8M) supporting pinning above spot, the concentrated short-dated put buying forces dealers into additional delta-hedges that can dampen upside in the immediate term despite the overall call accumulation.

OI clusters: Largest structural OI remains call-centric ($120.00 CALL OI=163,198; $140.00 CALL OI=160,817) creating longer-term upside walls; near-term OI and GEX concentrations at $112.00 (+$28.3M) and $110.00 (+$14.2M) are primary short-term magnets, but front-week put flows insert friction into movement toward those levels.

Hedging evidence: Clear: large short-dated protective puts and expensive deep-OTM tail buys ahead of earnings are explicit hedging. Dealers will likely be short-delta from these buys and may buy stock into downdrafts and sell into rallies, complicating pure call-driven upside even as longer-dated call accumulation persists.

Max pain context: Max pain pins sit well below spot ($95–$99 across near expiries) but near-term GEX pinning is above spot ($110/$112): positioning and recent call flow are orienting the pin higher than MP, creating a short-term magnet around $110–$112 despite longer-dated MP levels.

Signal vs Noise

~Very short-dated front-week prints (4/17) have elevated IV (≈99%) — some of the volume is earnings-driven hedging rather than pure directional conviction.
~Large OI at very far OTM puts (e.g., $5.00/$4.50 puts) are structural and not relevant to near-term directional signals.
~High notional concentrated calls at $120/$140 with massive OI are long-term structural positioning; single-day flows in those strikes can be dealer inventory management rather than fresh directional bets.
~Small-volume far-OTM activity (e.g., $55 puts) likely noise or cheap tail hedges given tiny notional and extreme distance from spot.

Key Conclusions

🐂Overall flow is bullish: net premium +$106.8M and concentrated call demand around $110–$120 supports upside into the EM band ($99.93–$115.48) and pins near $110–$112.
⚠️Earnings distortion: extremely elevated front-week IV (99.7% 4/17 ATM) and paid short-dated puts ($112, $107) mean front-week flow may be protective — watch tomorrow's unwind for confirmation.
📌Gamma/pinning setup: dealers are long-GEX (+$312.8M) with near-term GEX concentration at $112 and $110 — these levels are the primary magnets and likely to see mean reversion activity.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
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Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.