thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $88.60EOD only
Max Pain
$89.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.56
2.9% from close
Price Gap
+0.40
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
25
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.78
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
NFLX Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 14, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Continuation of heavy call premium flows (net premium remaining >$200M) with fresh call volume concentrated at $100-$125 and spot holding inside $99-$114 expected move
Invalidation: Net premium reverses materially (net premium <+$50M) or P/C volume ratio reverts above ~0.9 with meaningful put buying at $100-$110 strikes, or spot breaks and closes below $99.00
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 7.5; +0.5 heavy net premium and P/C volume 0.21; +0.5 strong positive GEX $255.8M (pinning); -0.5 spot 13.1% from MP

Watch next session: Follow large OI print execution at $105 and $100 calls (sustained buying or rapid roll-ups); Flow into $115-$125 call wall — early accumulation vs potential dealer resistance

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$406.1M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.21 — extreme call-dominant (heavy call flow today)

P/C OI ratio: 0.92 — modest call skew in OI (positioning somewhat balanced vs today's call-heavy flow)

Institutional and retail flow is decisively call-biased today: large call premium concentrated at $100, $105, $120 and $125 strikes is pushing dealers into positive GEX ($255.8M), which creates pinning dynamics within the expected move bands. The order flow looks like directional call accumulation (some multi-expiry), not simply short-dated expiration gammas, and that supports a bullish near-term tilt provided spot remains inside the $99–$114 range.

Notable Prints

#1
NFLX260717C00120000 CALL $120.00 exp 2026-07-17
Vol: 162,597
OI: 5,466
Vol/OI: 29.8x
IV: 36.8%
Notional: ~$51.9M
Intent: Directional call accumulation / bullish LEAP-like positioning (multi-month upside exposure)
Dual read: Large buy to open (bullish) or dealer-sold calls being purchased as part of structured trades (collar/synthetic) — but volume >> OI suggests fresh buy-side demand

Read-through: Material long-dated call demand at $120 signals institutional upside conviction beyond near-term moves; dealers will hedge by buying stock/delta, supporting price into the $110–$120 range over time.

#2
NFLX260717C00140000 CALL $140.00 exp 2026-07-17
Vol: 160,811
OI: 356
Vol/OI: 451.7x
IV: 36.6%
Notional: ~$10.9M
Intent: Speculative directional upside (long-dated OTM call buy sweep)
Dual read: Aggressive directional long (bullish lottery ticket) or small-seller overwriting; extremely high vol/OI implies fresh buys

Read-through: Lot of far-dated OTM call buying — while individually lower notional vs the $120 block, this reinforces a bullish skew from multi-month buyers and increases dealer delta exposure as hedges are layered.

#3
NFLX260417C00112000 CALL $112.00 exp 2026-04-17
Vol: 60,179
OI: 3,983
Vol/OI: 15.1x
IV: 81.0%
Notional: ~$9.2M
Intent: Near-term directional call buying ahead of/into earnings or short-dated volatility play
Dual read: Bought calls (bullish ahead of event) or dealers structurally adjusting gamma into short-dated expiries (pinning) — high IV and proximity to earnings (04-16) suggest event-driven positioning

Read-through: Large short-dated call flow with ATM-ish strikes increases dealer positive gamma exposure and strengthens the pin around $105–$112 into the Apr 17 expiry; supports near-term upside resilience.

#4
NFLX260417P00106000 PUT $106.00 exp 2026-04-17
Vol: 4,721
OI: 468
Vol/OI: 10.1x
IV: 82.1%
Notional: ~$1.6M
Intent: Protective buying or hedging ahead of earnings / short-dated tail protection
Dual read: Bought protective puts (bearish/hedge) or dealers selling puts as part of call-heavy structures (neutral to bullish)

Read-through: Some targeted short-dated put demand at the current spot indicates hedging around earnings; relative size is small vs call flow so it does not offset the dominant bullish call accumulation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $100-$125 calls across expirations (heavy premium at $100, $105, $120, $125; particularly large flow into $100/$105 short-dated and $120/$140 July),

Put additions: Scattered/short-dated put buys around $104-$110 (e.g., $106 Apr17, $105 Apr24, $104 May15) consistent with earnings hedges rather than broad directional put accumulation

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — positive Total GEX $255.8M and DEX +156.7M shares are consistent with the strong call premium and pinning regime; dealers are long gamma, creating a price magnet inside expected move bounds.

OI clusters: $105 call OI = 91,998 (top by OI at that strike when consolidating across expiries), $125 call OI = 91,220, $100 call OI = 68,831 and listed near-term clusters at $100 (42,365 OI), $105 (23,162 OI), $110 (21,057 OI). Put OI concentrated at $73 (48,178) but far from spot.

Hedging evidence: Evidence of protective/earnings hedging: short-dated put buying (Apr17 $106/$105) and scattered May puts; however, the scale of put hedges is small relative to call accumulation, so collars appear limited.

Max pain context: Max pain for the immediate expirations ($94 on 04-17, $97 on 04-24) sits well below spot; with GEX pinning near $100–$105, dealers may shepherd price toward those pin levels rather than immediate MP levels — MP trend is rising, but flow today is pulling spot toward the $100–$110 cluster.

Signal vs Noise

~Large Jul $120/$140 prints: multi-month OTM call blocks can be speculative or part of structured trades; treat far-dated vol-heavy blocks as directional only if followed by delta-hedging flows in the next sessions.
~Short-dated Apr17 call volume (e.g., $112 call) is likely tied to the earnings window (04-16) — some activity may reflect event-driven plays rather than pure market-view directional bets.
~High IV short-dated put buys at $104-$106 are consistent with earnings hedges, not an outright reversal signal given relative notional vs heavy call premium.
~Widespread call volume at $100 and $105 includes both short-dated and longer-dated expiries — some of this will be dealer inventory/gamma management rather than fresh directional accumulation.

Key Conclusions

🐂Strong bullish premium — Net premium +$406.1M and P/C volume 0.21 show clear call dominance concentrated at $100–$125 strikes (notably $100, $105, $120, $125).
📌Pinning dynamics — Positive GEX $255.8M with concentration at $100/$105/$110 creates a near-term magnet inside the $99–$114 expected move.
🧾Earnings hedges exist but are small — short-dated put buys around Apr17 ($106, $105) consistent with protection into 04-16 earnings; they don't offset heavy call buying.
🧭Watch the $115–$125 call wall — large OI there could form resistance if dealers begin to delta-sell into rallies; accumulation there today suggests a two-stage upside (initial support near $100–$110, then potential friction at $115+).
👀If net premium or P/C volume flips, expect rapid repricing — current thesis depends on sustained call flow and dealers remaining long gamma.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 14, 2026.
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Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.