thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $97.31EOD only
Max Pain
$100.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.33
3.4% from close
Price Gap
+2.69
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
93
High premium
P/C OI
0.88
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 17, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 17, 2026 close
NFLX Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 10, 2026. A newer flow report is available for April 17, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasMixed (lean Bullish)
Confirmation: Sustained net premium >$50M with continued call-dominant premium flow and price holding above $100 into next session
Invalidation: Net premium flips negative or large put sweep activity pushes spot below the near-term MP at $97
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5.0; +2.0 GEX/flow aligned pinning; +1.0 positive dealer GEX; -1.0 spot 6.2% above MP

Watch next session: New premium or OI buildup in $104-$110 calls (would reinforce dealer pinning toward $105-$110); Large put flow or blocks at $100-$97 (would signal a shift to bearish / MP reversion)

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$87.4M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.38 — put-heavy by volume (more put contracts traded), but premium skew favors calls

P/C OI ratio: 0.90 — modest put tilt in positioning, not extreme

The headline is mixed: large net premium (+$87.4M) and a big positive GEX (+$226.5M) point to dealer-driven pinning and durable call demand, concentrated around the $100–$110 band. However put volume is elevated (P/C vol 1.38) and short-dated IV is high (7d ATM 61.1%), so intraday flows show defensive/hedging activity alongside institutional call accumulation. Expect price to churn around the $100–$106 zone while gamma pinning persists.

Notable Prints

#1
NFLX 2026-05-22 $90.00 Put
Vol: 11,246
OI: 113
Vol/OI: 99.5x
IV: 38.6%
Notional: ~$1.22M (11246 * $1.09 * 100)
Intent: Long-dated directional downside/hedge (protective or speculative deep OTM put accumulation)
Dual read: Could be institutional hedging a large long exposure or retail/speculative lottery buying; small OI relative to volume suggests many new contracts rather than closing

Read-through: Large volume with tiny existing OI implies fresh demand for downside insurance or speculative downside exposures; because strike is 13% below spot and long-dated, it’s not immediate gamma pressure but signals concern/insurance positioning into summer.

#2
NFLX 2026-04-24 $107.00 Call
Vol: 2,690
OI: 758
Vol/OI: 3.5x
IV: 48.7%
Notional: ~$616k (2690 * $2.29 * 100)
Intent: Fresh short-term directional call buying (bullish, near-term upside)
Dual read: Bought calls (bullish) or dealer-sold (overwriting) for call premium (neutral); volume >> OI argues new buying

Read-through: Concentrated buying at $107 (only ~4% above spot and inside the 7d EM upper bound $109.96) reinforces dealer gamma to sell into upside and helps pin price under the $110 area if continued.

#3
NFLX 2026-04-17 $103.00 Put
Vol: 746
OI: 224
Vol/OI: 3.3x
IV: 60.3%
Notional: ~$255k (746 * $3.42 * 100)
Intent: Short-term protective put buying ahead of earnings (defensive)
Dual read: Protective hedge (institutional) or speculative short-dated downside bet (traders); timing (exp 4/17) and ATM strike suggest hedging into the 4/16 earnings

Read-through: ATM short-dated put activity near spot ahead of earnings increases near-term skew and supports dealer hedging flows that can create downside gamma liquidity needs if price moves lower.

#4
Top premium flow: $41.00 calls (aggregate premium)
Vol: 0
OI: 0
Vol/OI: 0.0x
Notional: $17,008,385 call premium (pre-computed net call premium at $41 strike)
Intent: Large long-term bullish exposure / corporate conversion or structured trade
Dual read: Aggressive long-term call accumulation (bullish) or large internal position reweighting / structured product leg (neutral to bullish)

Read-through: A very large notional concentrated at an in-the-money/structural strike ($41) shows a meaningful long-term bullish or corporate-driven position; it’s unlikely to affect short-term pinning but signals institutional long-term bullish positioning.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $100-$115 strikes (notable OI concentration at $100,$105,$110 and heavy premium net), including near-term activity at $104-$107

Put additions: Short-dated protective puts around $100-$103 (4/17 and 4/24 expirations) and long-dated speculative/hedge puts at $90 (5/22) and far OTM $30-$70 strikes (likely insurance or structured legs)

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — large positive Total GEX $226.5M and DEX +147.4M shares align with net bullish premium and call OI walls; gamma concentrations at $100-$110 explain pinning behavior

OI clusters: $100 call cluster (43,213 OI) and adjacent $105 (21,665 OI) / $110 (19,055 OI) create a call-wall resistance band; put OI cluster at $73 (48,178 OI) defines a structural downside floor (gamma flip ~ $73)

Hedging evidence: Evidence of short-term protective hedging: ATM/near-ATM puts (e.g., $103 4/17, $102/$100 4/24) and elevated short-dated put volume ahead of earnings; limited evidence of widespread collars but mixed flow suggests selective protective buying.

Max pain context: Max pain near-term at $97 (4/10) and trending lower ($97 → $95 across expirations). Spot $103.01 is above MP, so if dealers maintain positive GEX they have incentive to sell into rallies and buy into dips to steer toward the MP band around $95–$97.

Signal vs Noise

~Very large notional at $41 call premium likely structural/long-term position — not a short-term directional signal for next-week pinning.
~Far OTM long-dated puts ($30, $65, $70) — high vol/oi ratios but small absolute OI; likely speculative/portfolio insurance rather than immediate pressure.
~Some put-heavy volume ahead of earnings (4/17 expirations) — likely protective hedging into earnings rather than new bearish directional conviction.
~High P/C volume ratio (1.38) is partly explained by short-dated hedges and volatility; do not read single short-dated put sweeps as full trend reversal without follow-on premium or OI shifts.

Key Conclusions

🐂Net premium is strongly positive (+$87.4M) and dealer GEX is large and positive (+$226.5M) — setup favors call-side pinning in the $100–$110 band.
⚠️Put volume is elevated (P/C vol 1.38) and short-dated ATM IV is very high (7d ATM 61.1%) — traders are buying protection into earnings; downside risk exists if selling accelerates.
📌Key support: $100 (GEX +$16.5M pin), $96.06 (1w EM lower bound), $95 (max pain / near-term MP band).
🧱Key resistance: $105–$110 (call OI walls and GEX concentration; 1w EM upper $109.96) — sustained buying here would increase dealer selling and strengthen a pin around $105–$110.
🕵️Watch for OI buildup (not just volume) at $104-$110 calls and for large block put flow at $100-$97 — those moves will confirm a directional shift.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 10, 2026.
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