thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $89.30EOD only
Max Pain
$89.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.29
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-0.30
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
23
Low premium
P/C OI
0.79
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
NFLX Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 6, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 21, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above $98 and net premium remains >$50M with P/C volume ratio <0.9
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $95 with put volume surge and net premium flips negative
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 4.1% from MP

Watch next session: $100C OI buildup and flow; GEX pin magnet at $100.00; IV term structure normalization post-earnings

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$50.9M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.84 — moderate call dominance

P/C OI ratio: 0.95 — nearly balanced with slight call lean

Net premium strongly bullish at $50.9M, driven by call buying at near-term strikes like $100-$105. P/C volume ratio of 0.84 shows call dominance, while OI is nearly balanced, suggesting recent call accumulation. The flow aligns with positive GEX pinning regime, but elevated IV in 11-day expiry signals earnings-related volatility spike.

Notable Prints

#1
NFLX 4/10 $103 Call
Vol: 14,165
OI: 1,560
Vol/OI: 9.1x
IV: 37.4%
Notional: ~$4.25M (14,165 * $0.30 avg)
Intent: Fresh directional call buying
Dual read: Bought (bullish) or sold/overwritten (neutral)

Read-through: High volume vs OI at OTM strike, consistent with bullish flow regime targeting upside, but IV of 37.4% is below the elevated 11-day expiry, suggesting traders avoiding near-term volatility spike

#2
NFLX 4/24 $100 Call
Vol: 15,181
OI: 2,337
Vol/OI: 6.5x
IV: 50.1%
Notional: ~$58.45M (15,181 * $3.85 avg)
Intent: Directional call buying
Dual read: Bought (bullish) or sold/overwritten (neutral)

Read-through: Large notional at OTM strike post-earnings, significant bullish bet with IV of 50.1%, capturing elevated volatility but avoiding the peak 56.4% in 11-day expiry

#3
NFLX 4/10 $105 Call
Vol: 17,971
OI: 3,802
Vol/OI: 4.7x
IV: 38.7%
Notional: ~$2.34M (17,971 * $0.13 avg)
Intent: Directional call buying
Dual read: Bought (bullish) or sold/overwritten (neutral)

Read-through: Large volume at OTM strike, supporting bullish bias and targeting $105 resistance, with IV of 38.7% below the 11-day spike, indicating selective volatility exposure

#4
NFLX 4/10 $99 Put
Vol: 8,352
OI: 573
Vol/OI: 14.6x
IV: 35.4%
Notional: ~$12.36M (8,352 * $1.48 avg)
Intent: Hedge or protective put
Dual read: Bought (bearish hedge) or sold (bullish income)

Read-through: ITM put with high vol/OI, likely hedging near spot against earnings volatility, not directional selling; IV of 35.4% is low relative to the 11-day spike

#5
NFLX 4/10 $97 Put
Vol: 11,217
OI: 2,186
Vol/OI: 5.1x
IV: 36.7%
Notional: ~$8.52M (11,217 * $0.76 avg)
Intent: Hedge or protective put
Dual read: Bought (bearish hedge) or sold (bullish income)

Read-through: OTM put with moderate volume, likely hedging downside near support with IV of 36.7%, avoiding the elevated 11-day volatility

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $100-$105 calls in near-term expirations (4/10, 4/24), with large OI at $100C (42,030) and $105C (20,505), but avoiding the 11-day expiry with peak IV of 56.4%

Put additions: Protective puts at $99-$100 ITM and $97 OTM, small size relative to calls, with IVs below the 11-day spike, suggesting hedging rather than volatility plays

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — positive GEX $+207.3M and bullish net premium aligned, supporting pinning regime, but IV term structure inversion indicates earnings-driven volatility spike

OI clusters: $100 call wall (42,030 OI), $105 call wall (20,505 OI), $95 put floor (20,883 OI), $73 put floor (48,174 OI); note elevated IV around $95 in 11-day expiry

Hedging evidence: ITM put flow at $99-$100 suggests hedging near spot against earnings volatility, not directional selling

Max pain context: MP at $95 (4/10), $92 (4/17), $94 (4/24); spot at $98.93 above MP, drifting toward pin, but 11-day expiry has higher IV due to earnings on 4/16

Signal vs Noise

~Large put premiums at deep OTM strikes ($230, $240, $250) are likely noise from low-volume, far-dated positions, not directional
~Low-volume calls at strikes like $15, $10, $45 are likely legacy or structured positions, not recent flow
~High vol/OI in near-term ITM puts ($99P, $100P) is likely hedging activity against earnings volatility, not bearish bets
~Elevated IV in 11-day expiry (56.4%) is earnings-related noise; flow in 4-day and 18-day expiries is more indicative of directional bias

Key Conclusions

🐂Net premium strongly bullish at $50.9M with call dominance, but IV term structure shows earnings-driven volatility spike
📅IV inversion: 4-day expiry at 36.3% vs 11-day at 56.4% (20.1-point differential) indicates earnings volatility; consider reverse calendar spreads
🛡️Put flow is hedging against earnings, not directional, supporting bullish thesis post-volatility normalization
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 6, 2026.
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Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.