thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $88.09EOD only
Max Pain
$89.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.90
2.1% from close
Price Gap
+0.91
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
20
Low premium
P/C OI
0.79
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
NFLX Flow Report
Analysis based on market close March 30, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from March 30, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 20, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasNeutral to Bearish
Confirmation: Spot breaks below $92 max pain with sustained put volume dominance (P/C > 1.5)
Invalidation: Spot reclaims $94 and call flow returns with net premium turning decisively positive
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; +1.0 strong put premium flow; +0.5 P/C volume ratio >1.5; -1.0 contradictory net premium sign

Watch next session: $94P 4/2 OI for pinning pressure; Net premium direction for 4/2 expiry; Any call flow above $95 to challenge bearish lean

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$35.1M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.69 — put-dominant

P/C OI ratio: 0.92 — nearly balanced

A significant regime shift from last week. While net premium remains positive, the volume tells a different story with a strong 1.69 put/call ratio. This suggests large, bearish premium-paying flow is being offset by even larger bullish premium collection elsewhere, creating a conflicted but leaning bearish picture.

Notable Prints

#1
NFLX 4/2 $94 Put
Vol: 5,635
OI: 2,164
Vol/OI: 2.6x
IV: 34.2%
Notional: ~$530K
Intent: Fresh directional put buying or protective hedge
Dual read: Bought (bearish) for a move below $94 by next Friday, or sold (neutral/bullish) for premium with spot above.

Read-through: This is the highest volume meaningful print. With spot at $93.47, these are near-the-money puts for the weekly expiry. The 2.6x volume/OI and 34% IV suggest new positioning. Given the overall put-dominant volume regime, the bias is toward these being bought for downside protection or speculation, reinforcing the $92-$94 pinning zone.

#2
NFLX 12/18 $1 Put
Vol: 9,951
OI: 230
Vol/OI: 43.3x
IV: 181.3%
Notional: ~$10K
Intent: Structured product flow / financing trade
Dual read: Almost certainly sold (premium collection) as part of a complex yield-enhancement or financing structure.

Read-through: Extreme IV (>180%) and microscopic premium make this pure noise for directional analysis. This, alongside the $1.50P and $3P prints, represents institutional structured flow (e.g., put writing for yield) and should be filtered out. It inflates the put volume ratio without conveying bearish intent.

#3
NFLX 12/18 $1.50 Put
Vol: 9,010
OI: 62
Vol/OI: 145.3x
IV: 162.5%
Notional: ~$14K
Intent: Structured product flow / financing trade
Dual read: Sold (premium collection) as part of a yield strategy.

Read-through: Same as the $1P—extreme vol/OI and IV point to systematic overwriting or structured product activity, not a directional bet on NFLX crashing. This is a key driver of the high P/C volume ratio.

#4
NFLX 6/18 $117.50 Put
Vol: 400
OI: 2
Vol/OI: 200.0x
IV: 0.0%
Notional: ~$47K
Intent: Potential data error or extremely deep ITM trade
Dual read: If real, likely a stock substitute/assignment trade given 0% IV.

Read-through: 0% IV is highly anomalous and suggests a data reporting issue or a deep ITM position being closed/exercised. Not a clean directional signal.

#5
NFLX 4/2 $105 Put
Vol: 150
OI: 1
Vol/OI: 150.0x
IV: 96.6%
Notional: ~$16K
Intent: New OTM speculative put or hedge
Dual read: Bought (bearish) as a lottery ticket for a sharp drop, given high IV.

Read-through: Small notional but high IV and new position. In the context of other put flow, this adds to the bearish skew in speculative positioning for the near term.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Minimal in unusual flow. Premium flow shows large bullish bets at $101, $15, $10—but these are likely legacy/financing trades (see Signal vs Noise).

Put additions: New near-term puts at $94 (4/2) and OTM puts at $105 (4/2). Premium flow shows massive bearish bets at $230, $240, $250 puts.

GEX/DEX consistency: Partially — Positive GEX (+$130.4M) suggests pinning support, but the put-dominant volume flow contradicts it, indicating new hedging/speculation against the pin.

OI clusters: Major OI remains in far OTM tails: $5 Put (177K OI), $1.50 Put (100K OI), $125 Call (91K OI), $105 Call (91K OI). New cluster building at $94P for 4/2 expiry.

Hedging evidence: Yes. The $94P 4/2 build is direct near-term hedging. The premium flow into $230/$240/$250 puts, while likely structured, also represents large notional downside positioning.

Max pain context: Spot ($93.47) is just above this week's max pain ($92). The new $94P OI for 4/2 and existing gamma pin create a strong magnetic pull toward $92-$94.

Signal vs Noise

~The enormous volume in 12/18 $1P, $1.50P, $3P is 100% noise—systematic put writing for yield, inflating the P/C ratio without directional meaning.
~The massive premium flow into $101C, $15C, $10C and out of $230P, $240P is likely the other side of those same structured trades (e.g., call spreads financed by far OTM put sales). These are not standalone bullish/bearish bets.
~The 6/18 $117.50P with 0% IV is likely a data error or exercise/assignment trade, not a flow signal.
~The $94P 4/2 flow is a clean, meaningful signal of near-term hedging/speculation.

Key Conclusions

🔄Regime Shift: Flow has flipped from clearly bullish (P/C 0.73) to put-dominant (P/C 1.69), indicating a change in near-term sentiment.
⚠️Conflicted Signals: Bullish net premium conflicts with bearish volume ratio. This suggests large, offsetting structured trades are muddying the water; focus on near-term, near-money flow like the $94P.
🎯Pinning Pressure Intact: Spot above max pain ($92) with positive GEX and new $94P OI reinforces the $92-$94 as the immediate battleground.
📉Hedging Ramp-Up: New put flow at $94 (4/2) and OTM strikes shows institutions are adding protection for a potential break below the pin.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on March 30, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.