Expected Move — MPC
Data as of market close Apr 2, 2026
MPC Expected Move Data
- Nearest Expiry
- 2026-04-17
- Expected Move
- ±6.5%
- Expected Range
- $226.03–$257.43
- Days to Expiry
- 15
- ATM Strike
- $240.00
- Spot Price
- $241.73
Expected Move by Expiration (spot: $241.73)
Expected Move by Expiration
| Expiration | DTE | ATM Strike | Expected Move | Move % | Lower Bound | Upper Bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | 15 | $240.00 | ±$15.70 | ±6.5% | $226.03 | $257.43 |
| 2026-05-15 | 43 | $240.00 | ±$27.85 | ±11.5% | $213.88 | $269.58 |
| 2026-06-18 | 77 | $240.00 | ±$35.85 | ±14.8% | $205.88 | $277.58 |
| 2026-07-17 | 106 | $240.00 | ±$41.10 | ±17.0% | $200.63 | $282.83 |
| 2026-09-18 | 169 | $240.00 | ±$50.95 | ±21.1% | $190.78 | $292.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | 197 | $240.00 | ±$55.15 | ±22.8% | $186.58 | $296.88 |
| 2026-12-18 | 260 | $240.00 | ±$33.20 | ±13.7% | $208.53 | $274.93 |
| 2027-01-15 | 288 | $240.00 | ±$65.80 | ±27.2% | $175.93 | $307.53 |
| 2027-03-19 | 351 | $240.00 | ±$71.75 | ±29.7% | $169.98 | $313.48 |
| Expiration | Days to Expiry | ATM Strike | Expected Move | Move % | Lower Bound | Upper Bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | 15 | 240 | 15.7 | 6.49 | 226.03 | 257.43 |
| 2026-05-15 | 43 | 240 | 27.85 | 11.52 | 213.88 | 269.58 |
| 2026-06-18 | 77 | 240 | 35.85 | 14.83 | 205.88 | 277.58 |
| 2026-07-17 | 106 | 240 | 41.1 | 17 | 200.63 | 282.83 |
| 2026-09-18 | 169 | 240 | 50.95 | 21.08 | 190.78 | 292.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | 197 | 240 | 55.15 | 22.81 | 186.58 | 296.88 |
| 2026-12-18 | 260 | 240 | 33.2 | 13.73 | 208.53 | 274.93 |
| 2027-01-15 | 288 | 240 | 65.8 | 27.22 | 175.93 | 307.53 |
| 2027-03-19 | 351 | 240 | 71.75 | 29.68 | 169.98 | 313.48 |
Check the expected price move for MPC by expiration date, derived from options pricing. Compare implied moves across timeframes to gauge how much the market expects the stock to move.