thetaOwl

IWM

iShares Russell 2000 ETFClose $269.95EOD only
Max Pain
$257.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.24
0.8% from close
Price Gap
-12.95
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
2.56
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects IWM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
IWM Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness5 / 10
Sizing: Conservative
Primary: Sell premium only in longer-dated tenors or small position sizes after vol normalization
Invalidation: Spot < $250 gamma-flip or VIX > 25 / sudden supply shock
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 6.9% from MP; +1 VIX 17

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
Front-week ATM IV ~8–12 vs VIX 17; 1M+ term IV ~30–32 — front-week dislocated low while longer tenors remain elevated
Favorable?
No

Term structure: Steep short-dated put skew; 3–7d strikes cheap on IV but term IV elevated and flatter beyond 1M

📌Max-pain cluster at $258/$264-$265 concentrating pin risk
⚠️Front-week IV dislocation makes short-dated selling risky; consider only longer-dated/small size or post-normalization
📈Dealer GEX +$535M supports pinning and reduces immediate delta bleed

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+535.1M)

Gamma flip: ~$250.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 125,562 (9.3% below spot)

OI concentrations: Put OI concentrated ~9.3% below spot; max-pain at $258,$264,$265

Verdict: Elevated pin risk — pinning likely into near expiries (4/17–4/21) absent strong directional move

Premium Opportunities

#1
Call diagonal
Sell 2026-05-22 $280.00 call / buy 2026-06-18 $290.00 call
Harvests long-tenor IV vs dislocated near-term by selling nearer short and buying slightly higher long call; meaningful credit with tiny defined downside exposure.
Credit: $1.29-$1.58
Max loss: $0.01
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Trim/close if spot <271.03, VIX>25, or if short leg loses >50%; consider rolling short farther OTM or unwinding on IV reversion.
#2
Call diagonal
Sell 2026-05-29 $285.00 call / buy 2026-06-18 $290.00 call
Very cheap diagonal to limit front-week vega while keeping upside cap; lower payback if IV normalizes.
Debit: $0.08-$0.10
Max loss: $0.10
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Close if spot <271.03, VIX>25, or if premium paid/received moves adversely; roll or exit on IV normalization.

Risk Alerts

!Front-week IV dislocation makes short-dated premium selling hazardous
!Steep put skew and concentrated OI can amplify downside if selling accelerates
!Gap risk if spot moves >6% beyond max-pain levels

Read the Theta analysis for IWM for 2026-04-17. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.