thetaOwl

IWM

iShares Russell 2000 ETFClose $269.95EOD only
Max Pain
$257.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.24
0.8% from close
Price Gap
-12.95
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
2.56
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects IWM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
IWM Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8.5 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Put credit spreads near $266-$270 support
Invalidation: Close below gamma flip ~$245 or breach and hold below $266 max-pain
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.3% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
Avg IV 23.9% vs VIX 18.17% — IWM vol is richer than index vol
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: 30-60 DTE ATM IVs sit ~21.7%-23.6% with a modest bump in the 16-44 DTE bands (May expirations ~22-23%). Very low same-day IV (1-2d) then rising into the month.

💰ATM IV 23.9% > VIX 18.17% — edge for sellers collecting theta
📈Term structure: near-term IV suppressed (0-2d) but monthlies rich — prefer 16–44 DTE

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+278.5M)

Gamma flip: ~$245.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 108,443 (9.1% below spot)

OI concentrations: Large put OI at $245 (108,443), $240 (101,724), $250 (98,822) with near-term GEX +$34.0M at $270 and additional pin magnets at $271/$272.

Verdict: Favorable — positive GEX (+$278.5M) and near-term GEX cluster at $270 create a pinning environment that supports defined-risk short premium (put spreads). Max pain $266 is just below spot which reinforces downside magnet but keeps premium sellers advantaged while price stays above $266.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-05-15 $259.00/$249.00 put spread
Sell short-dated monthlies (25–55 DTE) put credit spreads around the $266–$270 magnet to collect elevated premium while keeping defined downside via a long put.
Credit: $1.45-$1.77
Max loss: $8.23
BE: $257.23
Mgmt: Take profits at 50–70% of max credit; tighten or close if price closes below $266 or IV spikes around earnings.
#2
Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-05-15 $255.00 cash-secured put
Sell 25–40 DTE cash-secured puts at target delta ~0.20 to collect premium and potentially acquire IWM near support.
Credit: $2.18-$2.67
Max loss: $252.33
BE: $252.33
Mgmt: Scale in, set buy-to-cover assignment plan; avoid selling through earnings (see alerts).

Risk Alerts

!Earnings cluster: 2026-04-16 and 2026-04-17 — avoid selling naked premium through these dates.
!Unusual same-day flow: extremely high volume/IV anomalies on 4/15/2026 expirations (calls and puts at $269-$271) — avoid same-day naked exposure into those prints.
!Gamma flip ~$245 — a break toward this area would accelerate downside; close credits if price shows intent to move below $266 toward $245.
!Put-heavy flow (P/C OI ratio 2.54) — skewed put demand can compress front IV and produce sudden downside gaps; prefer defined-risk structures.
!IV term structure: very low same-day IV and richer monthlies — calendars/diagonals express this edge but carry short-leg gap risk around earnings.

Read the Theta analysis for IWM for 2026-04-15. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.