thetaOwl

IWM

iShares Russell 2000 ETFClose $269.39EOD only
Max Pain
$264.00
Next expiry Apr 16, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.32
0.9% from close
Price Gap
-5.39
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
67
High premium
P/C OI
2.54
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects IWM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 15, 2026 close
IWM AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because dealer gamma concentration and short-term pin mechanics are strong and favor mean-reversion into $270–273, but the conviction is pulled down by large structural put OI, institutional protective flow that can trigger a volatility regime change, and compressed front-week expiries that create binary risk; these factors make the pin fragile rather than high‑certainty.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term pin to the $270–273 cluster driven by concentrated dealer gamma and a net bullish premium environment — price is biased to hold/gravitate into that band absent a volatility shock.

Where They Diverge

Flow signals show institutional accumulation of downside protection (large put buying and program selling) that directly contradicts the directional pin — institutions are positioning for a post-pin fade, which undermines the pure upside-magnet thesis. Theta wants to aggressively sell front‑week calls into the pin, but the flow-provided put protection implies those sold calls may be exposed to asymmetric downside if institutional hedges trigger volatility spikes.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 $272/$274 call spread for ~$0.45 credit (front-week defined-risk call spread).

Key Risk

Break and settlement below $266 within the front-week window — dealer gamma flips, stops/hedges cascade, IV gaps higher and price accelerates toward the $250–$260 structural put cluster, invalidating the pin thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for IWM for 2026-04-15. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.