thetaOwl

IWM

iShares Russell 2000 ETFClose $268.72EOD only
Max Pain
$262.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.21
0.8% from close
Price Gap
-6.72
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
39
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
2.52
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects IWM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 14, 2026 close
IWM AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because dealer gamma and concentrated call positioning provide a reliable short-term pin, and theta-friendly premiums improve odds for defined-risk sells, but conviction is capped by (a) clear institutional protective flow that can override the pin during stress and (b) a gamma flip trigger near $245 and a series of max-pain levels below spot that create meaningful asymmetric downside.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is effectively pinned into the mid-260s with dealer gamma and concentrated option positioning creating a short-term bullish magnet around $268–$270; premium-rich environment makes defined-risk selling the highest-probability edge.

Where They Diverge

Flow intelligence shows sizable institutional put accumulation and protective buying at lower strikes, which directly contradicts the pure pin/bull continuation implied by GEX — if institutions are hedging, that increases tail downside despite dealer pinning. Theta recommends aggressive front-month premium sales while Flow and Directional warn that concentrated institutional protection creates asymmetric blowout risk on a linked stop-run.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-05-01 262/257 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk theta sell).

Key Risk

A sustained break and close below $245 on high volume that removes dealer short-gamma (gamma flip) — consequence: immediate acceleration lower into $240 area and rapid put repricing that invalidates the pin and wipes out short-put positions.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for IWM for 2026-04-14. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.