thetaOwl

IWM

iShares Russell 2000 ETFClose $265.07EOD only
Max Pain
$258.00
Next expiry Apr 14, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.27
0.9% from close
Price Gap
-7.07
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
25
Low premium
P/C OI
2.49
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects IWM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
IWM AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because structural dealer support and concentrated GEX give a real near‑term edge, but elevated put demand, deteriorating max‑pain, and clustered short expiries create a material event/timing risk that prevents stronger conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus leans toward a pinned/managed tape around the mid-$260s with dealer short‑gamma and existing flow supporting a near‑term bias to the upside (target ~$271) while offering a theta-rich environment for defined‑risk credit trades.

Where They Diverge

Flow and earnings/term‑structure signals conflict: while positioning and GEX support a managed pin, institutional flow and persistent put demand (falling multi‑expiry max‑pain and high P/C OI) imply downside protection that would trigger a fade rather than continuation if volume tilts to put buying — directly undermining a clean bullish breakout. Additionally, short‑dated expiry clustering raises a timing conflict between selling premium and directional momentum.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 263/261 put spread for a credit (weekly tactical short put spread).

Key Risk

Break and sustained close below $245 removes dealer short‑gamma/pinning support and triggers rapid downside repricing — consequence: accelerated selloff toward the next structural support near $238 and widen of IV that invalidates short‑premium/continuation trades.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for IWM for 2026-04-13. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.