thetaOwl

GLD

SPDR Gold SharesClose $440.08EOD only
Max Pain
$435.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.97
0.9% from close
Price Gap
-5.08
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
26
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.55
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects GLD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
GLD AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 because dealer gamma and rich theta align for a pin/income trade but mixed flow and tail macro/event risk (no earnings but macro shocks) can rapidly invalidate positioning, so conviction is positive but not high.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus is mildly bullish/pinned around current mid-range with dealer gamma supporting a consolidation/pin and premium-rich environment that favors defined-risk, income-enabled bullish exposure rather than naked directional longs.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows mixed institutional activity—some accumulation but also large outsized offers—that conflicts with a clean bullish continuation (flow could supply liquidity to drive a sustained sell-off); theta wants short premium while directional still recommends long call exposure, creating tension on position sizing and time‑frame.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 1 2026 $450/$455 call spread for ~credit (defined-risk bearish-to-neutral income), expected credit ~$0.40–$0.70.

Key Risk

Break below $430 on strong selling (flow-initiated stop cascade) flips dealer gamma long to neutral/long removal and accelerates downside toward $420 gap — this level/trigger would invalidate the pin/income thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for GLD for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.