thetaOwl

GLD

SPDR Gold SharesClose $435.36EOD only
Max Pain
$434.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.54
1.5% from close
Price Gap
-1.36
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
7
Low premium
P/C OI
0.57
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects GLD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
GLD AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because structural pinning (GEX/MP ladder) gives a reliable center to trade around, but conviction is limited by opposing institutional selling, mixed flow, and near‑term expiry compression risk — any of which can rapidly break the pin and invalidate short‑premium approaches.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus view is a dealer‑pinned/neutrally biased setup centered in the $433–$436 area — position flows and GEX concentrate probability there making a mean‑reversion magnet rather than a committed trend trade.

Where They Diverge

Flow and institutional metrics conflict with the pin: while dealer gamma and MP ladders support pinning, net premium selling and mixed flow signals imply large selling pressure that could produce directional bursts and IV repricing; theta wants to monetize the pin by selling premium, but earnings/term‑structure or concentrated institutional selling could force IV spikes that undermine short premium strategies.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 20 433/428 put spread for ~ $0.45 credit (defined‑risk, tactical income against the pin).

Key Risk

A sustained break and close below $428.82 removes dealer gamma support and triggers a stop‑cascade — downside would accelerate toward the $415 structural support, invalidating the pin and short‑premium constructions.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for GLD for 2026-04-13. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.