thetaOwl

FIGR

Figure Technology Solutions, InClose $33.95EOD only
Max Pain
$35.50
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.43
4.2% from close
Price Gap
+1.55
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
10
Low premium
P/C OI
0.48
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects FIGR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
FIGR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 7, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.0

out of 10

Score 5 because structural signals (dealer gamma pin, concentrated OI) align across personas supporting a mean-reversion/pin trade, but conviction is capped by two asymmetric risks: high near-term earnings volatility that can blow past hedges, and spot sitting below max-pain with recent sell-side flow — either can invalidate short-gamma plays quickly.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market structure and positioning favor a short-gamma/premium-selling outcome with a persistent pin toward the mid-$30s; dealer hedging and concentrated strikes create a magnet while elevated vol makes defined-risk sell structures attractive.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-driven high IV and binary event risk directly undermine aggressive premium-selling: selling front-month premium assumes mean reversion of vol that a pre/post-earnings move could wipe out; directional optimism about a pin into the mid-$30s is weakened by spot trading below max-pain and negative recent net premium, which suggests that order flow may be contrarian to the pin thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 $30/$28 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk premium sell expiring before the next milestone).

Key Risk

Clean break and close below $30 triggers a dealer gamma flip (forced re-hedging), which would accelerate downside liquidity flow and likely push spot toward the $26.20 gap/support area, invalidating the pin and short-gamma premium-selling thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 7, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.