ThetaOwl

Expected Move — ES

Data as of market close Apr 2, 2026

ES Expected Move Data

Nearest Expiry
2026-04-17
Expected Move
±4.1%
Expected Range
$66.62–$72.32
Days to Expiry
15
ATM Strike
$70.00
Spot Price
$69.47

Expected Move by Expiration (spot: $69.47)

Expected Move by Expiration

ExpirationDTEATM StrikeExpected MoveMove %Lower BoundUpper Bound
2026-04-1715$70.00±$2.85±4.1%$66.62$72.32
2026-05-1543$70.00±$4.92±7.1%$64.55$74.40
2026-07-17106$70.00±$7.65±11.0%$61.82$77.12
2026-10-16197$70.00±$10.55±15.2%$58.92$80.02
ES expected move by expiration
ExpirationDays to ExpiryATM StrikeExpected MoveMove %Lower BoundUpper Bound
2026-04-1715702.854.166.6272.32
2026-05-1543704.927.0964.5574.4
2026-07-17106707.6511.0161.8277.12
2026-10-161977010.5515.1958.9280.02

Check the expected price move for ES by expiration date, derived from options pricing. Compare implied moves across timeframes to gauge how much the market expects the stock to move.