Term structure: Term structure downward sloping, with extreme put skew near term (Jun18 put IV 82%), indicating bearish hedging pressure.
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Trending ($-22.1M)
Gamma flip: ~$55.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 172,253 (14.9% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI heavy $47-$60; call wall $70; max pain $68 (Jun12), $62 (Jun18), $67 (Jun26).
#1Call credit spread
Sell 2026-07-10 $71.50/$79.00 call spread
Sells upside calls to capture premium decay as spot is pressured
Mgmt: Close if spot nears 65 invalidation Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_call: Open interest below 25.; long_call: Open interest below 25.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-10 $59.00/$55.00 put wing and $73.00/$79.00 call wing
Limits risk between put and call wings around expected range
Mgmt: Adjust wings if spot breaches boundaries Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (163%).; long_put: Wide spread (100%).; short_call: Open interest below 25.; long_call: Open interest below 25.
!Dealer net negative gamma (-$22M) and negative premium (-$29M) amplify spot moves.
!Put/call volume ratio 1.98 indicates aggressive put buying; bearish flow.
!Spot below Jun12 max pain $68 and gamma flip at 55 increases downside vulnerability.