Term structure: Near-term put IV spikes (51.9-72%) suggest demand for downside protection; term structure is backwardated in puts.
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+86.7M)
Gamma flip: ~$55.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 172,257 (16.5% below spot)
OI concentrations: Call OI wall at $70; put floor $47-$61; max pain pin at $64 for 2026-05-22.
#1Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-06-18 $63.00 cash-secured put
Sell put at support zone $63 with dealer gamma tailwind.
Mgmt: Roll or close if spot drops below $55 gamma flip.
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-18 $63.00/$47.50 put spread
Sell $63 put, buy $47.50 put to cap downside.
Mgmt: Exit if spot nears short strike; adjust wings if vol spikes. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Open interest below 25.
#3Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-18 $63.00/$47.50 put wing and $69.00/$85.00 call wing
Sell put spread at $63/$47.50 and call spread at $69/$85.
Mgmt: Close early if pinning unlikely or vol shifts. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Open interest below 25.; long_call: Volume below 5.
!High put/call OI ratio (1.76) suggests hedging pressure; if spot falls, dealer gamma flips negative below $55.
!Net dealer premium negative ($8.3M) may exacerbate moves.