thetaOwl

EEM

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETFClose $68.61EOD only
Max Pain
$67.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.33
1.9% from close
Price Gap
-1.61
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
75
High premium
P/C OI
1.85
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: May 28, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects EEM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 28, 2026 close
EEM Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 13, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Sustained net premium negative (<= -$10M) with continued heavy put volume at 58-63 and price drifting toward the $58 max-pain within next 2-5 sessions
Invalidation: Net premium flips positive (> $0) with P/C volume ratio dropping toward 1.0 and visible fresh call buying accumulating at $63-$65 strikes (OI builds >20k contracts)
Confidence:
4.5 / 10
base 4.5; -1 flow labeled Bearish; +1 GEX positive/pinning (conflicting); -0.5 spot 5.3% above MP; +0.5 VIX 19.12 (calm)

Watch next session: $60.00 put volume / OI changes (look for follow-through to 5k+ daily flow); Any renewed call premium flow at $63-$65 that would negate put-driven net premium

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$10.7M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.83 — heavy put volume (put-biased today)

P/C OI ratio: 1.37 — puts dominate open interest (established protective/structural positioning)

Today’s activity shows a clear put-dominated session: net premium is negative and both put volume and put OI exceed calls across key strikes. Large OTM/near-ATM put flow around $58-$63 (and structural put clusters at $50-$57) reads as institutional hedging or directional protection, while dealer GEX is strongly positive (+$381.0M) producing pinning pressure toward call-concentrated levels near $62-$64.

Notable Prints

#1
EEM 2027-01-15 $63.00 Put
Vol: 16,000
OI: 214
Vol/OI: 74.8x
IV: 23.1%
Notional: ~$9,376,000
Intent: Large directional/portfolio hedge (buying puts deep-dated ITM relative to near-term expiries)
Dual read: Aggressive protective put buying (bearish/insurance) OR block sale to dealer creating synthetic positioning (neutral-to-bearish for dealers)

Read-through: Meaningful institutional hedge appetite — long-dated protection concentrated at $63 signals concern for lower spot or desire to cap downside across 2027 exposures.

#2
EEM 2026-04-24 $60.00 Put
Vol: 5,001
OI: 208
Vol/OI: 24.0x
IV: 32.0%
Notional: ~$395,079
Intent: Near-term directional put buying / protective hedge into next-week expiries
Dual read: Buy to protect/short-dated hedge OR aggressive dealer selling to take on short-gamma (which would force delta-hedging and put downward pressure)

Read-through: High short-dated put flow concentrated at $60 supports short-term bearish skew and reinforces the $58 max-pain gravitation risk.

#3
EEM 2026-06-18 $55.50 Put
Vol: 952
OI: 140
Vol/OI: 6.8x
IV: 29.3%
Notional: ~$86,632
Intent: Medium-dated protection or speculative directional put buy
Dual read: Requested long-dated downside exposure OR spread leg of a larger structured hedge

Read-through: Adds to layered put protection across expirations; not huge alone but consistent with a guarded stance into summer.

#4
EEM 2026-04-24 $59.50 Put
Vol: 1,000
OI: 180
Vol/OI: 5.6x
IV: 32.3%
Notional: ~$62,000
Intent: Short-dated directional put/hedge
Dual read: Protective buy or dealer-led flow creating near-term pin pressure

Read-through: Reinforces near-term put demand clustered slightly below spot; supports bearish near-term bias toward the $58 max-pain.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Large call OI exists at $63-$65 and $70 (e.g., $65 call OI 153,426; $63 call OI 132,594; $64 call OI 125,731) — this looks more like sold/overwritten call supply or long-dated call positions in place rather than fresh aggressive call buying today.

Put additions: Put activity and premium skew toward $58-$63 and structural put floor at $50-$57 (notable $50 put OI 151,759 and $55 put OI 132,510) — institutions appear to be adding protection primarily near $60 and below.

GEX/DEX consistency: Mixed — dealer GEX is strongly positive (+$381.0M) which creates pinning toward nearby call clusters, while flow is bearish (net premium -$10.7M and heavy put volume). That creates a tension: dealers long gamma (pinning) even as institutional clients buy puts.

OI clusters: Call concentration: $65 (153,426 OI), $64 (125,731 OI), $63 (132,594 OI). Put concentration: $50 (151,759 OI), $55 (132,510 OI), $57 (87,348 OI), $58 (61,807 OI). These create a call wall ~ $65-$70 and a put floor ~ $50-$57, with near-term pinning around $61-$63.

Hedging evidence: Significant protective-put behavior visible — short-dated puts at $58-$60 and structural long-dated puts at $50 indicate both immediate hedging and longer-term downside protection rather than widespread collars. Some collars may exist but explicit evidence is limited compared with clear put buys.

Max pain context: Max pain is $58 across multiple expirations; spot ($61.07) sits above MP and the MP trend is rising toward $60-$62 over longer expiries. Put-heavy flow today increases the risk of price gravitating down toward $58 in the short term while dealer gamma supports pinning into the $61-$64 band.

Signal vs Noise

~Large call OI at $63-$65 is structural (OI clusters) and likely part of prior writing/overwriting — not fresh bullish directional flow today.
~The 2027-01 $63 put block could be portfolio insurance rather than a bet on near-term weakness; it’s large notional but long-dated (defensive).
~Some short-dated put activity (4/24 expiries) may be hedging around expirations (rolls/protection) rather than pure directional bets — watch whether those positions are closed or rolled.
~Dealer gamma/hedging dynamics (GEX +$381.0M) can produce pinning into call concentration levels even while clients buy protection — this is market-maker inventory adjustment, not pure client directional buying.

Key Conclusions

⚠️Net premium is bearish: -$10.7M with P/C volume ratio 1.83 — today is put-dominated.
📌Pin risk toward $62-$64: GEX concentrations (+$104.3M at $63, +$47.1M at $64, +$44.1M at $62) create near-term dealer pinning despite bearish client flow.
🛡️Institutions are buying protection: notable short-dated $60/$59.50 flow and a large long-dated $63 put block suggest layered hedging across horizons.
🔁Max-pain alignment: $58 is max pain across near expiries — continued put pressure increases chance of drift toward $58 over the next 1-3 weeks.
🧭Watch $60 put flows and any fresh call premium at $63-$65 — they will confirm whether clients keep buying protection or dealers regain control and pin price.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 13, 2026.
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