thetaOwl

DIA

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETFClose $513.06EOD only
Max Pain
$490.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.18
1.6% from close
Price Gap
-23.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
79
High premium
P/C OI
1.80
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects DIA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
DIA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not higher because the mixed flow and conflicting signals between bullish (flow, GEX) and bearish (distance to max pain, put accumulation) reduce conviction; a clear break above $527 or below $509 would raise conviction to 8.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives converge on a pinning regime near $510 with limited directional conviction, favoring defined-risk strategies that profit from range-bound price action.

Where They Diverge

Flow highlights bullish call flow and dealer gamma support for near-term upside, while directional warns of mean-reversion risk due to spot 5.8% above max pain, creating a tactical conflict on the immediate bias.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell DIA 2026-07-10 $535/$545 call credit spread for $1.25 credit

Key Risk

Break below $509 (key support) flips dealer gamma negative and triggers mean reversion to max pain at $490, invalidating the pin thesis and accelerating downside.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.