thetaOwl

BKNG

Booking Holdings Inc. Common StClose $169.82EOD only
Max Pain
$160.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.05
2.4% from close
Price Gap
-9.82
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
11
Low premium
P/C OI
0.83
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: May 28, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects BKNG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 28, 2026 close
BKNG AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 14, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 because dealer gamma and short-term mean-reversion mechanics support the pin, but conviction is capped by an earnings event in two weeks and clear protective/institutional downside flow that can override gamma and cause a fast breakdown.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term pin into the $180–$185 cluster driven by dealer gamma is the dominant thesis — positioning and options structure favor mean reversion toward that band over the coming week.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-driven IV term structure and concentrated pre-event premium create a binary risk that directly undermines the pin if realized vol re-prices higher; simultaneously, flow signals of put buying and net premium negativity point to asymmetric downside risk that would flip the gamma story into a rapid decline. These two signals (earnings repricing and protective put flow) are incompatible with an uninterrupted, low-vol continuation to the pin.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-24 176/170 put spread for a credit (approx $0.90) — defined-risk bearish-to-neutral income leg that monetizes the pin while limiting tail exposure.

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $176 on elevated volume (triggers dealer gamma flip) invalidates the pin and would accelerate downside to the $170 support/gap area, nullifying short-premium strategies.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.