thetaOwl

BKNG

Booking Holdings Inc. Common StClose $177.25EOD only
Max Pain
$173.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.62
3.2% from close
Price Gap
-4.25
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
56
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.73
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects BKNG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
BKNG AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 because gamma pinning creates a clear near-term bias, but conviction is capped by a binary earnings window and mixed institutional flow that can quickly flip positioning; alignment across personas supports the pin but event risk and premium-seller vulnerability prevent a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas align that dealer gamma is pinning price into the $176–$180 area, creating a short-term magnetic bias toward that strip and making defined-risk, pin-focused trades the highest-probability setups today.

Where They Diverge

Theta and earnings clash: theta wants to monetize elevated premia into the pin (sell credit structures), while the earnings/IV term-structure and mixed flow signal a material post-event IV re-pricing risk that directly undermines aggressive premium-selling; likewise, flow hints of net institutional premium selling contradicts a pure directional bullish unwind after earnings.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell May 1 $176/$170 put spread for a credit (defined-risk, front-month pin play).

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $173 (trigger: sustained trade < $173 on volume) would flip dealer gamma from pinning to procyclical selling and remove the magnet — consequence: rapid downside acceleration toward the next structural support near $168 and a collapse of short-premium trade viability.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for BKNG for 2026-04-13. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.