thetaOwl

BKNG

Booking Holdings Inc. Common StClose $192.03EOD only
Max Pain
$176.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.10
3.2% from close
Price Gap
-16.03
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
12
Low premium
P/C OI
0.84
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects BKNG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 20, 2026 close
BKNG Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 21, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Concentrated put prints, elevated PC volume (1.30), large negative net premium and regime labeled Bearish.
Invalidation: Sustained rally clearing gamma flip ~176 or large call flow/volume reversing net premium.
Confidence:
4.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 8.0% from MP; +0.5 VIX 20

Watch next session: spot vs 176 gamma flip; follow-through on BKNG 4/24 $188 put print; net_premium and PC volume shifts; any large call prints

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$25.4M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.30

P/C OI ratio: 0.84

Heavy put flow and negative net premium point to downside pressure. If puts persist, expect breakdown; if spot rallies above the ~176 gamma flip with meaningful call buying, the bearish signal is invalidated.

Notable Prints

#1
BKNG 2026-04-24 $188.00 Put
Vol: 640
OI: 109
Vol/OI: 5.9x
IV: 45.5%
Notional: ~$83K
Intent: Bearish (speculation or hedge)
Dual read: Directional vs protection

Read-through: Increases near-term downside; supports pinning

#2
BKNG 2026-05-15 $165.00 Put
Vol: 419
OI: 108
Vol/OI: 3.9x
IV: 48.4%
Notional: ~$57K
Intent: Medium-dated bearish/hedge
Dual read: Speculation vs portfolio hedge

Read-through: Extends bearish skew into May

#3
BKNG 2026-05-01 $135.20 Put
Vol: 468
OI: 239
Vol/OI: 2.0x
IV: 157.3%
Notional: ~$12K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
BKNG 2026-05-01 $121.60 Put
Vol: 200
OI: 117
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 107.8%
Notional: ~$7K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
BKNG 2026-05-01 $132.00 Put
Vol: 255
OI: 162
Vol/OI: 1.6x
IV: 165.8%
Notional: ~$19K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Small call interest around $174.8 May08 (tactical, low OI).

Put additions: Noticeable short‑dated put flow: Apr24 $188, May15 $165 and a cluster of May01 strikes (121–135) with large prints but very high IV and low liquidity — treat May01 prints as suspect and downweight.

GEX/DEX consistency: Mixed — GEX +$14.7M and DEX +19.2M point to hedge/pinning pressure, but directional read is tempered by mixed flow and illiquid prints.

OI clusters: Largest put OI cluster ~10,943 (~7.8% below spot); gamma flip near ~176.0, though short‑dated illiquid strikes can distort apparent clusters.

Hedging evidence: Evidence consistent with protective put accumulation and possible collars, but characterize as probable hedging rather than definitive given mixed metrics and noisy prints.

Max pain context: Spot ~8% above MP; concentrated put interest plus positive GEX raises pinning risk toward max pain if flows persist, acknowledging uncertainty.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: clustered put OI near gamma flip (~176) with elevated vol/volume (weighted by liquidity).
~Signal: negative net premium and P/C volume >1.29 support bearish hedging bias.
~Noise: May01 high‑IV low‑liquidity prints likely distort short‑dated picture — downweight these.
~Noise: small isolated call block has low OI and is not trend‑defining.

Key Conclusions

⚠️Short‑dated put concentration near the gamma flip likely reflects hedging/pinning intent but should be treated probabilistically given illiquidity.
📌Positive GEX plus concentrated puts increases pinning risk toward MP, contingent on persistent flow and excluding suspect May01 prints.
🔎Deprioritize lone call block; prioritize put cluster, net premium and P/C volume while downweighting high‑IV illiquid trades.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 21, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.