thetaOwl

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.Close $516.10EOD only
Max Pain
$460.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$41.42
8.0% from close
Price Gap
-56.10
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
89
High premium
P/C OI
1.10
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
AMD AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because multiple momentum signals (GEX, bullish flow) align to support the pin and favor premium-selling, but an imminent earnings event and elevated short-term volatility create a single high-impact binary that can negate all positioning quickly; limited downside protection and term-structure tension prevent higher conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus view is net bullish with dealer pinning pressure centered near the lower midrange (the market is biased to hold higher levels against a magnet toward the $260–$270 call cluster while structurally anchored nearer the $225 pain point).

Where They Diverge

Earnings-driven volatility is the clearest antagonist: the earnings persona flags a binary event that could both validate a continued pin if IV holds or violently reverse the setup if realized prints/guide disappoint and IV collapses — this directly contradicts the steady bullish continuation implied by flow and GEX. Additionally, if flow shows steady institutional accumulation but theta wants aggressive short-dated premium sales, a sharp pre-earnings spike could blow out short-dated sellers even while longer-dated directional positions remain intact.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 $235/$230 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk premium sale, expires before earnings).

Key Risk

A break and close below $241.27 (the 1-week lower expected move level) would flip dealer gamma from pinning to selling; this would trigger rapid downside acceleration toward the $225 max-pain level and invalidate the bullish/pinning thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.