thetaOwl

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.Close $278.39EOD only
Max Pain
$240.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$15.60
5.6% from close
Price Gap
-38.39
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.14
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 17, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 17, 2026 close
AMD AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 10, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for April 17, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because all signals line up on a near-term pin to $245 (GEX + flow + elevated IV) giving tactical edge, but conviction is capped by concentrated risks: front-week expiry/earnings-term uncertainty, high ATM IV making volatility moves self-reinforcing, and active institutional flow that can quickly overwhelm short-gamma sellers; these factors keep conviction from being higher.

Where Perspectives Agree

Collectively the views converge on a short-term bullish pin around $245 with dealer short-gamma reinforcing that magnet and creating a favorable environment for premium sellers or tactical bullish exposure ahead of expiry.

Where They Diverge

Theta/flow are in tension: flow shows ongoing institutional call accumulation that would sustain an upward repricing of IV and spot, which undermines a pure premium-selling (short-gamma) approach if the buying continues; directional bullishness expects continuation into the $250–$259 range, but structural max-pain distance and the looming expiry create a regime where a strong post-expiry unwind or an earnings re-pricing could reverse the move — these are incompatible outcomes (continuing call demand vs. a smooth, sell-the-rip premium decay).

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 245/240 put spread for a credit (defined-risk put spread), expected credit.

Key Risk

A decisive daily close below $240 (with accelerating put prints) flips dealer positioning and removes the $245 pin — that would trigger rapid downside toward the structural reference near $220, invalidating the short-term bullish/premium-selling thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.