thetaOwl

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.Close $467.51EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$33.20
7.1% from close
Price Gap
-67.51
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
65
High premium
P/C OI
1.09
Balanced positioning
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
AMD AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 9, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 9, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 22, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because position alignment (positive GEX + bullish flow + attractive short-dated theta) supports the magnet, but conviction is capped by two binary underminers: the near-term max-pain cluster/expiry mechanics and elevated event-driven IV which can produce rapid regime shifts; those risks reduce conviction below a high score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus is bullish/neutral with a short-term pin toward the $235–$240 band supported by dealer gamma positioning and bullish flow — the market is biased to hold or re-test that magnet in the next 1–3 weeks absent a clear catalyst to the downside.

Where They Diverge

Directional/flow/theta all advocate exploiting short-dated upside pinning; this directly conflicts with the expiry max-pain cluster well below spot—if put demand rotates into expiry stress, the expected pin can flip into a forced mean reversion and a swift downside move. Additionally, an earnings-term/event read (elevated short-term vol regime) creates a binary that could invalidate any calm pin regardless of current positioning.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell 2026-04-17 $230/$225 put spread for a credit (defined-risk directional bet that benefits if the pin holds into the near-term expiries).

Key Risk

A sustained break and close below the $217.50 expiry max-pain level (or an intraday drop through $217.50 with follow-through) would flip dealer gamma, remove the pin, and accelerate downside toward the ~$200 structural support — this single scenario invalidates the bullish pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 9, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.