thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $198.35EOD only
Max Pain
$182.50
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.81
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-15.85
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
55
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.85
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
NVDA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Strong positive GEX (+$1.1B), bullish flow/pinning regime and heavy call OI at 202.5–205 supporting upside and pinning near MP.
Invalidation: Spot 9% above mid-price and sizable near‑dated put prints (200–205) introduce downside risk; sudden VIX uptick or large put follow‑through would invalidate framing.
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 9.0% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Monitor 200–205 put volume/oi; Follow 202.5–205 call selling and delta changes; Track VIX and price move toward MP/deltas

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$1.1B bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.47

P/C OI ratio: 0.86

Market shows bullish, pinning flow: large positive GEX and concentrated call OI near 202–205 support upside, but heavy near‑dated put prints and spot above MP create notable downside tail risk.

Notable Prints

#1
NVDA 2026-04-17 $202.50 Put
Vol: 34,566
OI: 720
Vol/OI: 48.0x
IV: 8.6%
Notional: ~$2.9M
Intent: near-dated protective puts
Dual read: pinning intent vs directional short

Read-through: pressure below 205 into expiry

#2
NVDA 2026-04-20 $205.00 Put
Vol: 3,656
OI: 129
Vol/OI: 28.3x
IV: 20.8%
Notional: ~$1.4M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
NVDA 2026-04-17 $200.00 Put
Vol: 198,904
OI: 7,990
Vol/OI: 24.9x
IV: 8.4%
Notional: ~$199K
Intent: Large short-dated buy-to-open hedge or directional put sweep
Dual read: portfolio protection vs aggressive bearish bet

Read-through: urgent downside hedging near-dated; strong pin risk

#4
NVDA 2026-05-01 $265.00 Call
Vol: 3,715
OI: 238
Vol/OI: 15.6x
IV: 51.8%
Notional: ~$11K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
NVDA 2026-04-20 $202.50 Call
Vol: 66,567
OI: 4,447
Vol/OI: 15.0x
IV: 19.2%
Notional: ~$8.1M
Intent: short-dated call accumulation
Dual read: bullish volley vs short-squeeze setup

Read-through: significant two-way flow around 202-205

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Concentrated call buys into near expiries around 202.5–205 and some longer-dated 265 interest; magnitude suggests tactical upside exposure but not overwhelming versus market depth.

Put additions: Large Apr17/20 short-dated put blocks at 200–205 — could be protective hedges, directional put-selling, or block trades distorting skew; watch for follow-on activity to clarify intent.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX ~+$1.1B and DEX +$460.5M bias toward supportive gamma/delta, but impact is magnitude-dependent and can be offset by underlying liquidity and flow turnover—treat as probabilistic, not definitive.

OI clusters: Heaviest OI centered 200–205 strikes (calls and puts), indicating focal pins/interest in that band.

Hedging evidence: Patterns consistent with short-dated collars/put accumulation at 200–205, IV skew lift on near-dated puts; causality ambiguous given block trades.

Max pain context: Max pain sits below spot; spot ~9% above MP, which creates pin risk but distance and active flows make outcome uncertain.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: dense short-dated 200–205 OI plus sizable call flow—supports near-term upside/pinning bias, contingent on follow-through.
~Noise: single large Apr17/20 put prints may reflect execution or directional selling; monitor rolls/offsets to discriminate.

Key Conclusions

📌Near-term pinning bias around 200–205 supported by concentrated OI and net positive GEX/DEX, but strength is magnitude-dependent and uncertain.
⚠️Apr17/20 put blocks ambiguous—could be hedges or directional put-selling; monitor subsequent roll/offset activity and IV moves for clarity.

Read the Flow analysis for NVDA for 2026-04-17. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.