thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $222.82EOD only
Max Pain
$217.50
Next expiry Jun 3, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.97
1.8% from close
Price Gap
-5.32
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
49
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.82
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 2, 2026 close
NVDA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call-side premium demand into and beyond the front week expirations (continued net premium inflows at $195-$205 strikes) and price holding above $195 into next session. Specifically, repeat or follow-through of large front-week call activity (e.g., replication of the NVDA260415C00197500 scale into adjacent expiries) would confirm.
Invalidation: A session where net premium flips negative (put-dominant) and front-week call volumes fail to reappear, with spot closing below the $190 deterministic support. A sizeable fresh put-buy at near-dated strikes (>~$10M premium) would also invalidate the short-term bullish read.
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 4.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: Follow-through call buying at/above $200 (especially re: 4/20 and 4/24 expiries); Whether spot holds the $190 deterministic support and EM guardrail $194.35 (2d lower bound)

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$957.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.45

P/C OI ratio: 0.85

Flow is strongly call-leaning and materially reinforced by a very large front-week ITM call print (NVDA260415C00197500, Vol=273,286, OI=16,420) that greatly increases short-delta dealer exposure and pinning pressure toward $195-$200. Front-week put prints are large in volume but look expiry-driven (notably NVDA260415P00195000 Vol=137,808 OI=9,077 with near-zero premium), implying put-side removal into expiry rather than fresh hedging; net effect is increased bullish gamma and dealer short-delta into the replacement expiries.

Notable Prints

#1
NVDA260415P00200000
Vol: 60,687
OI: 334
Vol/OI: 181.7x
IV: 8.9%
Notional: ~$5.7M
Intent: ITM front-week put activity consistent with expiry settlement/rolls or closing protective positions.
Dual read: Could be protective puts being exercised or large-scale closing of put positions; Vol=60,687 vs OI=334 (181.7x) at Last=$0.94 and low IV (8.9%) points to expiry-driven flow rather than a new strategic long-dated hedge.

Read-through: Net effect is reduction of put-side exposure into the rollover, supporting bullish gamma from dealers; notional estimate ~ $5,704,578 — meaningful in cash terms but driven by expiry mechanics.

#2
NVDA260415P00197500
Vol: 164,255
OI: 1,754
Vol/OI: 93.7x
IV: 7.2%
Notional: ~$164K
Intent: Large front-week put selling or expirational close (massive volume at very low last price suggests short put/assignment activity).
Dual read: Could be protective put buying flipped into selling or exercise/assignment flows given low IV and last=$0.01; volume (164,255) vs OI=1,754 (93.7x) implies expiration-day settlement/roll/close behavior.

Read-through: This print reduces put exposure into expiry and favors call-driven pinning; notional estimate of premium traded ~ $164,255 (near-zero premium), so it is likely expiry/assignment dominated rather than a fresh large directional bet.

#3
NVDA260420P00197500
Vol: 6,260
OI: 191
Vol/OI: 32.8x
IV: 28.5%
Notional: ~$1.4M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
NVDA260417P00197500
Vol: 56,737
OI: 2,039
Vol/OI: 27.8x
IV: 31.2%
Notional: ~$9.0M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
NVDA260424P00200000
Vol: 7,458
OI: 430
Vol/OI: 17.3x
IV: 31.2%
Notional: ~$3.4M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Material front-week call concentration at $197.50/$195/$200 (huge NVDA260415C00197500 print plus high premium flow at $200 and $195) — institutions are adding call exposure in the immediate expiries and into 4/20-4/24. Net premium distribution remains heavily skewed call-side across $185-$205.

Put additions: Apparent put reductions in the front week via expiry mechanics (NVDA260415P00195000 and NVDA260415P00197500) reduce near-term defensive positioning; longer-dated put OI (e.g., $140 put OI=82,750 and clusters at $160-$180) still indicates institutional tail hedges but these are not primary drivers of today's flow.

GEX/DEX consistency: The addition of an outsized front-week call print materially increases dealers' short-delta and aligns with the positive Total GEX of $+1.1B and the deterministic 'Gamma: Pinning' regime. DEX and GEX signals remain consistent: dealers will need to hedge by buying shares into dips, reinforcing upside pinning.

OI clusters: Largest OI remains clustered at $200/$195/$190 calls across expiries; these form a near-term magnet/wall in $195-$200. Put OI clusters at $160-$180 are deeper and create a structural floor further below but were not activated as fresh buys today.

Hedging evidence: Front-week put volumes look like expiry/assignment flow rather than fresh protective buys, reducing short-term hedging. Longer-dated put OI shows continued tail-hedging but does not counterbalance the immediate call accumulation and dealer short-delta.

Max pain context: Max pain pins for near expiries sit at $190 (4/15, 4/20) and $180 (4/17), but current spot is above MP and GEX concentrations near $195-$200 exert a magnet. Dealers' positive GEX and concentrated call premium make the $200 area the primary short-term pin.

Signal vs Noise

~Several large prints are on 2026-04-15 expiries (NVDA260415*): high-volume/low-premium activity (e.g., P197.50 at $0.01) is likely expiry settlement/assignment/roll activity rather than fresh directional bets.
~Front-week ITM puts and ITM calls with extremely elevated volume vs OI (Vol/OI > 15x) are consistent with expiration mechanics and dealer delta-hedging — treat as expiration noise unless followed up by similar sized trades in subsequent expiries.
~Some mid-dated heavy OI at $140 puts and $160-$180 puts are longer-term hedges (tail protection) and should not be interpreted as immediate bearish flow versus the current call-heavy premium inflows.
~Instances of call volume at single strikes could be part of defined call-spread structures (buy call/sell higher call) — inspect the higher strikes' activity before treating as pure long-call accumulation.

Key Conclusions

🐂Bullish front-week flow concentrated at $195-$200 is creating dealer short-delta and pinning dynamics toward $200 (supported by +$1.1B GEX and +$957.6M net premium).
📌Near-term pin / magnet range to watch is $195-$200 (GEX concentrations: +$115.5M @195, +$222.3M @200) — price is likely to gravitate here absent fresh large put buys.
⚠️Much of the largest intraday activity is expiry-driven (4/15) and may be noise; confirm directional thesis with follow-on call activity into 4/20–4/24 before increasing directional exposure.
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This flow reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
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