thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $196.51EOD only
Max Pain
$185.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.04
1.6% from close
Price Gap
-11.51
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
66
High premium
P/C OI
0.87
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 14, 2026 close
NVDA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call premium flow at $195-$200 (net premium staying >$150M/day) and spot holding above $195 into next expiry; growing OI at $200 call strikes
Invalidation: Net premium flips negative or P/C volume ratio rises above 1.2; spot breaks and stays below $190 with consecutive sessions of put-dominant premium
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 6.2% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18.4

Watch next session: Intraday rebuild or further buying in $195–$200 calls (OI/flow on 4/17+ expiries); Put flow at $192.50-$190 for signs of defensive buying vs expiration pin action

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$1.1B bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.42 — call-dominant on volume (strong)

P/C OI ratio: 0.87 — moderate call lean in positioning

Large, concentrated call buying dominated premium flow (notably at $195 and $200 strikes), producing a material bullish tilt. Dealers show heavy positive GEX (+$948.0M) which should create pinning pressure around the $195-$200 band while short-dated put activity likely reflects expiration hedging rather than a directional bet against the rally.

Notable Prints

#1
NVDA 2026-05-29 $200.00 Call
Vol: 50,506
OI: 1,333
Vol/OI: 37.9x
IV: 39.8%
Notional: ~$47.8M
Intent: Directional call accumulation (multi-week bullish exposure)
Dual read: Aggressive buyer (bullish) or large structured seller/shedding long-dated exposure (neutral)

Read-through: High notional and large vol/OI indicate meaningful fresh bullish bets into May; complements net premium concentration at $200 and increases dealer positive delta exposure (reinforces pinning around $200).

#2
NVDA 2026-04-15 $195.00 Call
Vol: 173,589
OI: 8,274
Vol/OI: 21.0x
IV: 25.5%
Notional: ~$40.3M
Intent: Short-dated directional call buying or rolling/covering into expiry
Dual read: Client bought to push gamma/directional exposure (bullish) or counterparties selling/overwriting existing stock exposure (neutral to mildly bullish)

Read-through: Very large expiry-day call flow concentrated at $195 — consistent with pinning to nearby max-pain/GEX; likely a mix of fresh bullish exposure and expiration management by institutions.

#3
NVDA 2026-04-15 $192.50 Put
Vol: 74,213
OI: 570
Vol/OI: 130.2x
IV: 27.1%
Notional: ~$2.23M
Intent: Expiration-day protective puts / short-dated hedges
Dual read: Protective buys (defensive) or short-squeeze related buys to pin (gamma dealers hedging)

Read-through: Extremely high vol/OI on tiny OI indicates an expiration-focused trade — likely short-dated protective buys that will amplify dealer gamma hedging around ~$193-$195 but not a long-term bearish position.

#4
NVDA 2026-04-15 $202.50 Call
Vol: 26,805
OI: 1,253
Vol/OI: 21.4x
IV: 30.0%
Notional: ~$0.48M
Intent: Short-dated directional call buying/roll
Dual read: Directional bullish or closing/rolling activity into nearby strikes

Read-through: Supports short-dated upside interest above spot; adds to the pin pressure around the $195-$200 band if sustained.

#5
NVDA 2026-04-15 $190.00 Put
Vol: 65,389
OI: 2,823
Vol/OI: 23.2x
IV: 30.5%
Notional: ~$0.85M
Intent: Short-dated protective hedging or sale-to-open by market makers
Dual read: Protective buying (bearish tilt) or expiration-driven hedging that forces dealer gamma actions (mechanical)

Read-through: High expiry put flow near $190 will increase hedging flows into close; on balance looks like expiration-related protection rather than a conviction bet to push price lower.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $195-$200 strikes are the primary call accumulation zone across short and medium-dated expiries (heavy premium at $200; $195 concentrated on 4/15), with additional interest up to $210/$215 on longer-dated chains.

Put additions: Puts are concentrated far below spot (notably $140 OI = 82,750) and short-dated protective buys at $190-$192.50; overall put flow is smaller in premium terms versus calls.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — positive Total GEX $+948.0M and DEX +435.6M shares align with bullish call-dominant flow and create a pinning regime around the $195-$200 band.

OI clusters: $195 call cluster (OI 104,350) and $190 (102,611 OI) / $185 (95,189 OI) on the call side create a dense call-wall region; large put OI concentrated at $140 creates a distant structural floor but not an immediate support band.

Hedging evidence: Evidence of short-dated protective puts (4/15 $192.50 and $190) consistent with expiration hedging; minimal evidence of large collar programs — flows look more like directional call buying plus tactical short-dated put hedges.

Max pain context: Max pain near-term sits at $185 for 4/15 and 4/20 but the spot is above MP and dealer positive GEX is producing pinning toward the $195-$200 area rather than immediate drift to $185.

Signal vs Noise

~Large volume on 4/15 expirations (e.g., $195 calls, $192.50 puts, $190 puts) likely contains significant expiration/roll and gamma pin activity — interpret as pinning/hedging rather than pure directional conviction.
~Some long-dated put print volumes are tiny relative to OI (e.g., $140 put OI large but low short-term trade volume) — structural protection, not short-term bearish flow.
~High vol/OI ratios on very low OI strikes (e.g., $192.50 put vol/OI 130x) indicate expiration-driven trades; treat as transient gamma/hedge triggers, not durable positioning shifts.
~Large call premium at $200 includes multi-expiry accumulation — if concentrated in long-dated options some prints may be structured (buy-writes, collars) rather than outright directional calls.

Key Conclusions

🐂Net premium strongly bullish: $1.1B in net premium with P/C volume 0.42 — calls are dominating flow, focused at $195-$200.
📌Pinning zone emerging at $195-$200: GEX concentrations (+$149.9M at $195; +$96.8M at $200) and concentrated call OI create a dealer magnet in the next sessions.
Expiration dynamics are loud: multiple huge vol/OI prints on 4/15 show expiry hedges and gamma flows that can amplify intraday moves without signaling longer-term reversal.
🧭Follow $195-$200 call activity and rebuilds in OI — continued accumulation confirms the bullish thesis and dealer-supported pin; failure to hold $190-$192 would invalidate it.
🛡️Protective put buys at $190-$192.50 are present but appear defensive/short-dated — they increase dealer hedging but do not offset the dominant call-driven positive gamma.

Read the Flow analysis for NVDA for 2026-04-14. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.