thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $211.14EOD only
Max Pain
$210.00
Next expiry Jun 1, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.36
2.5% from close
Price Gap
-1.14
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
45
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.80
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
NVDA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 13, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained net premium remaining positive (Net Premium = $288.9M) with continued call-dominant premium at $187.50-$200 and price holding above $185 into next session
Invalidation: Net premium flips materially negative or P/C volume ratio rises above 1.2; price breaks decisively below $183.19 (1w EM lower bound) with accelerated put buying
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: Activity and OI change at $190 (calls & puts) given +$102.3M GEX concentration there; Any follow-through call premium buying at $195-$200 (near-term call OI clusters) or large put prints at $182.50-$185

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$288.9M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.75 — call-dominant (moderate)

P/C OI ratio: 0.87 — moderate call lean in positioning

Flow is strongly bullish: large net premium ($288.9M) concentrated in calls around $187.50–$200. Dealers are long gamma (GEX +$899.7M), producing pinning behavior around $190 and $185. The combination of strong call premium flow plus positive GEX suggests dealer hedging will provide support into the near-term expiries.

Notable Prints

#1
NVDA 2026-04-13 $190.00 Call
Vol: 244,854
OI: 20,444
Vol/OI: 12.0x
IV: 4.3%
Notional: ~$4.652B
Intent: Large expiry-day directional/close activity or block call buying into the 0d expiry; likely opening/closing of short-dated positions and dealer flow hedging
Dual read: Aggressive bought calls (bullish) or large close/rolls/assignment flows (neutral); very low IV and tiny last price ($0.01) implies these prints are expiry mechanics or block fills, not high-premium directional gamma trades

Read-through: Reinforces pinning pressure around $190 for today; given GEX concentration (+$102.3M at $190), dealers will be active hedgers maintaining price near this level absent a market catalyst.

#2
NVDA 2026-04-13 $187.50 Call
Vol: 134,749
OI: 6,052
Vol/OI: 22.3x
IV: 10.9%
Notional: ~$2.526B
Intent: Expiry-day directional/roll/assignment activity—heavy ITM call volume into 0d expiry
Dual read: Could be fresh intraday call buys (bullish) or large position unwind/assignment; very high vol/OI ratio suggests concentrated event-driven activity rather than steady accumulation

Read-through: Supports immediate bullish bias intraday but signals expiry-driven technical flows rather than durable long-dated accumulation.

#3
NVDA 2026-04-13 $187.50 Put
Vol: 143,918
OI: 7,362
Vol/OI: 19.6x
IV: 9.6%
Notional: ~$2.698B
Intent: Expiry-day put activity likely tied to hedging, pinning and option expiration mechanics (lots of matched call/put flow at same strike)
Dual read: Could be bearish put buying or closing of previously open short puts; paired with large call flow at same strike it reads as expiry/hedge flow more than directional conviction

Read-through: Large matched flows at $187.50 amplify intraday pin risk; watch close-of-day P/L-driven flows pushing price toward strikes with concentrated open interest ($185-$190).

#4
NVDA 2026-04-15 $190.00 Call
Vol: 63,756
OI: 7,576
Vol/OI: 8.4x
IV: 25.3%
Notional: ~$1.211B
Intent: Near-term bullish directional buying or roll into 4/15 calls (fresh call accumulation into next expiry)
Dual read: Likely bought calls (bullish) or sellers opening to sell premium (neutral); IV ~25% and sustained call premium in Top Premium Flow point to genuine call demand

Read-through: This is a meaningful near-term bullish read — supports continuation above $187.50 toward $190–$195 if follow-through continues.

#5
NVDA 2026-04-13 $190.00 Put
Vol: 30,900
OI: 3,056
Vol/OI: 10.1x
IV: 10.3%
Notional: ~$587.1M
Intent: Expiry-day protective/assignment flows — sizable but likely part of offsetting activity to the large call prints
Dual read: Could be fresh protective puts (bearish hedge) or put sellers being closed (bullish); context of dominant call premium favors the latter as part of expiration balancing

Read-through: Adds complexity to expiry picture but does not undo the broader call-dominant premium — looks like offsetting expiry mechanics creating localized pin risk.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $187.50-$200.00 calls concentrated across 4/13–4/15 expiries (Top Premium Flow: $187.50 net $35,905,326; $190 net $37,627,900; $200 net $29,216,774). Large call volume at $190 and $195 indicates institutions are adding short-dated bullish exposure.

Put additions: Puts are present but smaller in net premium terms at near-term strikes; put OI clusters at $185 and $180 exist (11,870 and 10,834 OI respectively) indicating protective interest but not dominant buying today.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — positive Total GEX $899.7M and DEX +403.7M shares align with bullish flow and pinning around $190/$185. GEX concentration +$102.3M at $190 supports dealer hedging that pins price.

OI clusters: $190 call cluster (multiple OI entries: 20,444 and 7,576) and $200 call cluster (~116k OI aggregated across listed $200 entries) create overhead call interest; put clusters at $185 (11,870 OI) and $180 (10,834 OI) create near-term support bands.

Hedging evidence: Yes — strong evidence of large-scale hedging and expiry mechanics: matched heavy call/put volumes at $187.50 and $190 on 4/13 indicate institutional rolling/hedge activity and dealer delta hedging. Minimal evidence of systematic collars; flows look more like directional call accumulation plus short-dated hedges.

Max pain context: Max Pain pins at $185 for 4/13 and 4/15 and $180 for 4/17 — combined with the falling MP trend and heavy GEX at $190, we see competing pin forces: dealers will try to pin near $190 while expirations and max pain tug toward $185–$180 over the coming week.

Signal vs Noise

~Large 4/13 volume at $187.50 and $190 (both calls and puts) is largely expiry mechanics/assignment/rolls — treat much of the 0d flow as noise for durable directional conviction.
~Very low trade IV and $0.01 last prints on many 4/13 strikes indicate block fills and closing trades rather than new volatility-seeking positions.
~Some high-volume prints are likely part of matched structures (straddle/strangle closes or pinning execution) — isolated volume without OI build should not be read as long-term accumulation.
~Dealer inventory adjustments tied to positive GEX (+$899.7M) are ongoing — dealer re-hedges can create intraday price support that is not institutional directional buying.

Key Conclusions

🐂Net premium strongly bullish: +$288.9M concentrated in calls (notably $187.50–$200) while P/C volume ratio is 0.75.
📌Pin risk centered at $190 and $185: GEX concentration +$102.3M at $190 will keep dealers hedging near that level; max pain at $185 exerts downward pull into expiries.
⚠️Much of today's largest prints are 0d/2d expiries (4/13–4/15) and show very low option IV/last prints, indicating expiration mechanics and roll activity — treat 4/13 flow as advective noise for longer-term positioning.
🔎Watch $190 OI and premium changes: additional call builds at $190–$195 would confirm bullish continuation; significant put accumulation or price break below $183.19 would invalidate thesis.
🧭Dealers are long gamma (GEX +$899.7M). Expect volatility to be dampened near the pin levels — intraday moves away from $185–$192.82 may be met with dealer hedging flows.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 13, 2026.
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