ThetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $188.63EOD only
Max Pain
$180.00
Next expiry Apr 13, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.10
1.6% from close
Price Gap
-8.63
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
51
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.88
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 10, 2026 close
NVDA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained net premium >$400M (currently $444.3M) and continued call-dominant volume at $190-$200 with spot climbing toward/through $190
Invalidation: Net premium flips negative or P/C volume ratio >1.2; spot breaks and holds below $183.80 (1-week EM lower) with shrinking call flow
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 7.8% from MP

Watch next session: Follow 4/13-4/17 call volume at $190 and $195 (watch if >50k prints repeat); New put buying at $185-$187.50 (protective activity) or large closing at $175 (expiration dynamics)

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$444.3M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.60 — call-dominant (call flow ~40% heavier than puts)

P/C OI ratio: 0.88 — moderate call lean in positioning (calls overweight but not extreme)

Heavy, concentrated bullish premium across near-term strikes ($185, $190, $195, $200) with dealers long gamma (GEX +$696.4M) creating pinning mechanics around $185-$190. Short-dated call buying dominates volume (P/C volume 0.60) while OI still shows large established call clusters at $185-$200, implying institutions are adding call exposure and dealers are positioned to buy delta into upside moves.

Notable Prints

#1
NVDA 2026-04-13 $190.00 Call
Vol: 87,515
OI: 8,535
Vol/OI: 10.3x
IV: 21.7%
Notional: ~$8,051,380
Intent: Fresh directional call buying (near-term upside squeeze / pin chase)
Dual read: Aggressive bought calls (bullish) OR large dealer-sold calls being put on as overwrites (neutral) — but volume >> OI and low IV argues buyer-initiated

Read-through: Concentrated, high-frequency buying at $190 amplifies GEX pinning +$19.3M at $190 and makes $190 the primary short-term magnet; dealers will hedge by buying stock, supporting price toward the $190 area.

#2
NVDA 2026-04-13 $185.00 Put
Vol: 39,387
OI: 2,412
Vol/OI: 16.3x
IV: 24.1%
Notional: ~$1,615,067
Intent: Protective put buying or short-term hedging (but also could be put-selling by dealers into call buying)
Dual read: Large buy of protection (bear-hedge) OR dealers selling these puts as part of delta management against heavy call buying (net neutral-to-bullish)

Read-through: Significant put volume at $185 (OTM, 2% from spot) alongside heavy $190 call flow suggests two-way activity: buyers buying protection while counterparties manage delta — overall supports pinning between $185-$190 rather than a pure bearish signal.

#3
NVDA 2026-04-24 $187.50 Put
Vol: 9,635
OI: 236
Vol/OI: 40.8x
IV: 30.9%
Notional: ~$3,805,625
Intent: Directional short-dated protective puts or speculative downside bet sized materially
Dual read: Bought puts (bearish/protective) OR structured collar / synthetic created by professionals (hedge) — very high vol/oi implies fresh positioning

Read-through: Fresh concentrated interest at $187.50 (1% from spot) indicates institutional-scale protective hedging into the upcoming 2–3 week window; could act as short-term support if dealers hedge by buying underlying on these flows.

#4
NVDA 2026-04-20 $195.00 Call
Vol: 5,646
OI: 783
Vol/OI: 7.2x
IV: 27.7%
Notional: ~$660,? (estimate using last $1.17 => ~$660,? )
Intent: Tactical upside call accumulation ahead of next week; likely directional call buying
Dual read: Bought calls (bullish) vs dealers selling short-dated calls (neutral) — given broader flow dominance of calls the buy interpretation is stronger

Read-through: Adds to stacking of upside exposure in the 1–2 week window; reinforces dealer hedge demand into $190–$195 and keeps upside slippage limited.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $185-$200 calls across near-term expirations (notably concentrated at $190 and $200 by premium flow and OI), plus call premium skew out to $205-$210 in smaller size

Put additions: Targeted protective puts at $185-$187.50 (near-term) and some medium-dated ITM puts at $195 (10/16) — mostly hedges, not a broad bearish reposition

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — positive GEX (+$696.4M) and DEX (+392.9M shares) align with bullish call-dominant net premium ($444.3M) and pinning around $185-$190.

OI clusters: Largest OI clusters: $140 call/put OI large structurally, near-term call clusters at $185 (10,879 OI), $190 (8,535 OI), $195 (4,081 OI), $200 (multi-expiry 105k+ aggregated). These create a short-term magnet between $185-$195 and a structural call wall near $200.

Hedging evidence: Clear protective buying at $185-$187.50 and long-dated put blocks (e.g., 10/16 $195 put vol) — evidence of targeted hedging/collars rather than wholesale put accumulation.

Max pain context: Max pain is rising (current near-term MPs $175 → $180 across expirations) but spot sits above MP; with pinning and heavy call flow dealers will be incentivized to buy into dips toward $180-$185 to maintain the pin.

Signal vs Noise

~Large expirations around 2026-04-13 (high volume at $190/$185) include expiration rolls and gamma-related hedging; some prints (especially the $190 call 4/13) include expiry-driven positioning and short covering that can exaggerate directional reading.
~High vol/oi in very small-OI strikes (e.g., $187.50 4/24 OI=236) can be single-institution hedges or spread legs—interpret as meaningful but confirm with repeat flow.
~Deep long-dated put premium concentration listed at $340/$350 (premium negative in Top Premium Flow) is structural tail hedging and outside the near-term move — not a near-term bearish signal.
~Dealer inventory adjustments are likely: large positive GEX and concentrated short-dated call flow imply market-maker hedging activity that can look like buy flow in underlying; separate buy prints from client-initiated trades to confirm direction.

Key Conclusions

🐂Net premium is strongly bullish (+$444.3M) with heavy call dominance at $185-$200; dealers are long gamma which supports pinning and upside compression.
📌$190 is the short-term pin: GEX +$19.3M at $190 and massive 4/13 call flow concentrate price support at that level.
🛡️Notable protective activity at $185-$187.50 (high vol/oi) — institutions are hedging modestly while still adding calls, indicating risk-managed bullishness.
⚖️Flow vs OI: volume is call-heavy (P/C vol 0.60) while OI remains moderately call-lean (P/C OI 0.88) — new buying is layering on existing call positioning rather than overturning the book.
🔍Watch for confirmation: repeat large prints at $190-$195 and whether spot holds above the 2d EM lower bound $185.53; a breakdown below $183.80 would flip the short-term picture.

Read the Flow analysis for NVDA for 2026-04-10. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.